I'm now beginning to wonder whether we'll even officially achieve a zonal wind reversal at 10hpa/65N. The ECMWF gets us close at D 4-6, then strengthens the vortex, and now for two consecutive days, the GFS depicts the reversal but w/ rapid intensification thereafter. As expressed yesterday and throughout this season, there are factors destructively interfering with weak vortex maintenance, and other concerns regarding strat progression which favor Europe/Asia. We will be -NAM/-NAO over the next