KA Winter Outlook 2015-16. Mine also. Others please post here
All three months +1 to +3 in temps.
DCA snowfall:14"
Liquid equiv:Above average
Analog years 58-59,70-71,05-06
My 2015-16 Winter Outlook
Dec:-0.5
Jan:+1
Feb:+1
Overall:+0.5
DCA snowfall:5-10"
Suburbs:12-20"
Liq.equiv:Above average
Analog years:52-53,53-54,72-73
We discussed our narrative and they are the same. Moderate+ el nino that will not be able to block all the cold air like the big ones 82-83 and 97-98 but will be able to thwart most of the cold air. 82-83 was wa
My outlook calls for exceptional warmth in many parts of central and eastern North America for the first half of the winter, fading slowly to a near normal February in those regions and possibly a colder than average March. The far west will be generally very mild, as will almost all parts of western Canada.
During spells of exceptional warmth, record high temperatures may occur and these may even threaten monthly records, not just daily records. A good analogue may be the winter of 1905-06,