Terpeast's 2023-24 Winter Outlook - Overall Grade: C
I put my outlook in a PDF, so I'll put the "tl,dr" here:
There are a lot of mixed signals leading into this winter. But I have seen enough signs to raise my confidence for an interesting winter across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast U.S. This year is the best chance for a big winter or a top 10 KU since 2015-16 or even 2009-10.
However, I have also seen other signs that confound the potential for big snowfall, like Hunga Tonga, continuation of a negative PDO base state, and abnormally w
Grading my 23-24 winter outlook vs actual results
Temperatures: Decent match spatially, but off on the magnitude of the warmth. It's not just us being really warm, it's everywhere. Including Canada. Grade: B-
Precipitation: Good match spatially and magnitude, a little bit off on the precip maxes though both midwest and east coast. I was highly confident of a wet winter, and that did happen. Grade: A-
Snowfall: Truth is, I had at least one big storm baked into my snowfall outlook e
