Winter 2023-2024
Natural Gas correlation
Natural Gas rises/drops the year before vs Winter temps
Highest correlation is Russia
We currently have the #2 biggest drop NG (for the year), #1 is 2001 (01-02). Only 1 rise was greater than this years difference, 2000-2001. So we are #3 overall difference since 1995, year to date.
I post this here too:
I once again used that December will be a +2SD +EPO (dominate trough over Alaska) to roll forward to January, and again see that the very warm conditions usually continue.
Dec Analogs: https://ibb.co/TTnjcDS
Dec Temp map: https://ibb.co/cxjrYFz
Jan roll forward 500mb pattern: https://ibb.co/rdsYCpF
Jan roll forward US Temp map: https://ibb.co/zbqBKKL
These roll forward means are giving us a baseline +2 to +4 Jan to work with. Not saying it