It's been a long time since 45N has been consistently below normal. This has shown up several consecutive models runs now.
(+4 more model runs, going back to yesterday)
We have been, since 2019, reversing the Pacific and Atlantic at -0.70 correlation(record)
I think the cold showing up in western Europe in +15-16D will translate to a favorable Pacific (+PNA(not -NAO)) in 20 days.
We have had a -NAO on Christmas +4 days every year since 2017, and 7/8 years sinc