Winter Outlook 2018-2019
On October 29, 2011 an early-season storm brought 2.9” snow to Central Park and more than a foot of snow in parts of the City’s northern suburbs. The remainder of the 2011-12 winter was characterized by exceptional warmth and little snowfall. Winter 2011-12 finished with 7.4” snow.
Yesterday, another historic early-season storm dumped 6.4” snow on Central Park. That is the City’s biggest snowstorm so early in the season. In addition, cities such as Allentown, Baltimore, Harrisburg, Hartford
My winter thoughts are now under review for possible revision...
One of my fundamental assumptions concerned a central Pacific-based El Niño event. The latest weekly ENSO data reveal that the ongoing weak El Niño has largely been and remains a weak basin-wide event. The newest data show a Region 1+2 anomaly of +0.9°C vs. a Region 3.4 anomaly of +0.5°. I am currently reviewing the data for weak basin-wide events and will post any needed update in coming days.
My two ENSO-related assumpt
