My Winter Outlook 2018-19
Any comments or inquiries are appreciated!
http://www.lightinthestorm.com/
Prior Forecasts: Past years’ winter and summer outlooks are maintained on my website: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Since the outset in 2006, the verification has been 82%.
Abstract: After multiple, successive winter seasons typified by negative ENSO conditions in the Pacific, a material alteration in
When one steps back and poses the inquiry: if I were to remove the modelled EPS z500 progression from the equation, and the GEFS for that matter, how would I anticipate the hemispheric/global pattern to progress in light of the apposite physical forcing mechanisms; namely, AAM tendency progression, GWO/MJO, among other factors, etc.? For those who believe a protracted pattern break-down is ahead, ask yourself: am I thinking this principally because a volatile snapshot on the day 15 EPS suggests
