My Winter Outlook 2018-19
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http://www.lightinthestorm.com/
Prior Forecasts: Past years’ winter and summer outlooks are maintained on my website: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Since the outset in 2006, the verification has been 82%.
Abstract: After multiple, successive winter seasons typified by negative ENSO conditions in the Pacific, a material alteration in
Re: concerns pertaining to the lack of robust negative NAO initiation thus far:
1) Recall my last update, I noted that we would be entering a period of destructive interference post the Mid-Atlantic snowstorm, due largely to poor tropical forcing. I expected this to yield a rainstorm for the Northeast coast for the most recent event, which did occur.
2) The development of constructive interference, whereby the troposphere and stratosphere act harmoniously, was said to ret
