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http://www.lightinthestorm.com/
Prior Forecasts: Past years’ winter and summer outlooks are maintained on my website: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Since the outset in 2006, the verification has been 82%.
Abstract: After multiple, successive winter seasons typified by negative ENSO conditions in the Pacific, a material alteration in
Rapid analysis of the status of tropical forcing this afternoon: I continue to believe that alterations remain positive going forward. Westerly wind burst now progged near the dateline courtesy of the eastward propagating tropical wave, and with the MJO low-orbit, likely to continue into phase 7, then halt motion there, we should see an increase in Nino-esque long-wave pattern, theoretically.
Tropically induced FT will increase, torques should remain positive, as should AAM con