Winter model performance discussion
We don't really have a good place to discuss how models did in past events, and sometimes that discussion can clog up other threads. So I'd like to try to give those discussions a thread of their own. I expect people will still talk about past model performance in the forecast and obs threads, but this can be a place to have those discssions if they start getting too off-topic.
I'd also like this to be a place to find data on past model performance. To help people remember what models di
Here's the LWX preliminary snowfall map for this event.
I'll go through the major models below, and then I'll write up some extra thoughts at the end.
The below gifs show the runs from 12z 1/09 to 18z 1/12. Some snow had fallen in the western areas by 18z 1/12, but I chose 18z instead of 12z so we could get more model runs in.
The precip totals are from the start of the run to 12z 1/14. For the RGEM and HRDPS, I include runs that end as early as 00z 1/14 because they only