Well, let's get it started... ENSO SSTs are threatening to go into a weak El Nino, but the tropical Pacific forcing, convection, and trade wind patterns are still lagging in La Nina-like modes as a carryover from last winter.  The forecasting of winter patterns based on ENSO is best achieved when the ocean and atmosphere are coupled, else we are left with neutral conditions where the winter pattern is more susceptible to being highly variable.  In prior cases like this where we are coming o