Fresh thread to get us through this potential active period of winter weather.  The pattern's gonna have to prove it to me that it can suppress a snowstorm south of PA. It's only really happened with that one Jan storm that snowed on the Carolina's and VA this winter. Otherwise, it's def about the best look we've had pattern wise. 500 heights on model guidance show a pretty broad and flat western ridge and a 50/50ish type low for the period in question. Confluence and a sharper cutoff to an