WhiteoutMD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Hasn't this been the issue for the last two days? Ninja posted that there might be temp issues and this might be rain, but there might be enough cold that it might snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 6"+ for everybody. The crowd goes wild. I can sleep well now. goodnight all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Six hours until 06Z takes it all away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waldo5252 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I want to join in on the excitement. I'm a newb at this, I know west of DC is getting snow... What about Wes and I in Calvert county, any hope for us to see snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Bob Turk on WJZ says a little snow late Tuesday/early Wednesday, all rain on Wednesday, mid-upper 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 UKMET 500mb 48 hrs : http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ukmet≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 700mb RH: http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ukmet≤=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 850mb RH: http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ukmet≤=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 850 temps: http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ukmet≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 6 hr (only) precip ending 48 hrs: http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=prec&in=.1&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest obviously, more precip to come after 48 hrs with the precip field and 700RH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 this season's pattern has been for the heavy snows to be north and east of us, and I expect that to continue... that DC bullseye will move NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Bob Turk on WJZ says a little snow late Tuesday/early Wednesday, all rain on Wednesday, mid-upper 30s He is not a met. WJZ is always a step behind. I bet that forecast was generated well before the 0Z runs and they were not even considered by him or the staff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Nogaps had this nailed 5 days ago. BTW 20-30mm on it tongiht. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Bob Turk on WJZ says a little snow late Tuesday/early Wednesday, all rain on Wednesday, mid-upper 30s Please stop telling us what these clowns are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is this the first storm this year where all the models are in agreement? It's really strange to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WBAL's Tasselmeyer -- not a clown -- has the cities and metro areas in 3-6" (as well as all of the northern tier of MD counties including Frederick, Hagerstown etc, with 6-12 in Leesburg and back out through Charlestown WV. Who knows if he's seen the 0z suite tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Please stop telling us what these clowns are saying. Sorry I was just adding what local weather people were saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Tasselmeyer has the cities and metro areas in 3-6" (as well as all of the northern tier of MD counties including Frederick, Hagerstown etc, with 6-12 in Leesburg and back out through Charlestown WV. Who knows if he's seen the 0z suite tho. I think he has. Tasselmyer usually knows what he's talking about and at this point I think 3-6" in the cities is a very reasonable call. Remember that earlier today, this was expected to be almost all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 UKMET can play 2nd base. I have an opening for the GGEM in left field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is this the first storm this year where all the models are in agreement? It's really strange to see. for us i think this is the best agreement by far.. 500 agreement has been there for 2 days or so on most models too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think he has. Tasselmyer usually knows what he's talking about and at this point I think 3-6" in the cities is a very reasonable call. Remember that earlier today, this was expected to be almost all rain. No it wasn't. Your posts suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Bob Turk on WJZ says a little snow late Tuesday/early Wednesday, all rain on Wednesday, mid-upper 30s NO ONE GIVES A RATS ASS WHAT THE LOCAL TALKING HEADS SAY - EVERYONE UNDERSTAND NOW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 UKMET can play 2nd base. I have an opening for the GGEM in left field. That Canadian dude Organizing Low will show up in a minute and scream at you to use the RGEM now and not the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NO ONE GIVES A RATS ASS WHAT THE LOCAL TALKING HEADS SAY - EVERYONE UNDERSTAND NOW? I apologized earlier, you don't have to be a jerk about it. I'll go back to lurking now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 agree with Ian on this if the 500 goes south like predicted game on for some snow. He has been saying this for 2 or so days I have to agree. for us i think this is the best agreement by far.. 500 agreement has been there for 2 days or so on most models too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Clown maps are a let down for central VA on the GFS. Looks like you posted the NAM to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is he correct? 43mm over Harrisonburg?! IN 12 Hours?! Please verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I apologized earlier, you don't have to be a jerk about it. I'll go back to lurking now It's just that some TV forecasters are more respected than others. But you really can't be expected to know which ones they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No it wasn't. Your posts suck. Ok, maybe an inch of slop at the end From earlier: For the immediate metro region, rain is the most likely scenario Wednesday, although snow and/or sleet cannot be ruled out due to uncertainty in the exact track of the storm. The chance of snow and/or sleet is highest north and west of eastern Loudoun and western Montgomery county with a chance of heavy snow in the mountains. (There's also the outside possibility the storm misses the region to the east.) We'll have a full storm update midday. Highs range from 33 (northwest) - 38 (southeast). Wednesday night, any rain may change to snow from northwest to southeast as the storm pulls away with lows from the upper 20s to lower 30s. Confidence: Low-Medium http://voices.washin...orm_h.html#more Zone 2: There may be enough stale cold air for the precipitation to start briefly as snow and/or sleet early Wednesday morning, especially on the west side of this zone. But any accumulation would be light. The chances of frozen precipitation at the onset increase if the low takes a track farther to the east and our winds stay from the north. Otherwise, rain is most likely during the day Wednesday and it may be moderate to heavy. Temperatures are cold- probably only in the mid-30s. Models do indicate a pretty good chance that the rain turns to snow Wednesday night (between 7 and midnight) as the upper level low moves by to our east. Some accumulation is possible, especially on the west side of this zone. A couple models indicate the potential for a few inches while others indicate less. http://voices.washin...ignfi.html#more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Dt says rgem shows 15" for Harrisonburg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 agree with Ian on this if the 500 goes south like predicted game on for some snow. He has been saying this for 2 or so days I have to agree. plenty have pointed out what we need at 500 but we more or less locked in over the last 48-60 hrs now i think other than a burp or two. before that it was more or less an idea and a hope. the surface does seem to be finally responding. whether or not that continues or this is clse to final is tough to tell but i would expect several inches of snow in my backyard at this point where earlier it was still a little more up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM has around 20mm qpf for DCA/BWI that is mostly snow, but prob not all still, a great hit and consistent with all other modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM has around 20mm qpf for DCA/BWI that is mostly snow, but prob not all still, a great hit and consistent with all other modeling We are not in the GGEM's best range (if there is one), so that sounds fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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