2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[Interstate]

3 minutes ago, LP08 said:

The initial coastal precip as its starting to strengthen on basically all foreign models is very different vs the USA. No major bands rotate and almost all of them require the inverted Trof to hit.  Just snizzle on most then hope and pray

Good thing we are on USA soil... so we take the USA Models and disregard any other one.  There is a reason we secede from England. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Just looking at the NAM, wow what a shift.  Let's keep this trending!  It seems like every trend has been left for a lotta runs in a row now.  Maybe it just won't stop.  

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

ICON is 0.4-0.5" QPF after 00z Monday from Frederick/Loudoun/Fairfax and east.

Would be a 4"-6" event for many.

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Would be a 4"-6" event for many.

We’d take and root for boom scenarios. It’s trended nicely. 

[WxUSAF]

3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

ICON is 0.4-0.5" QPF after 00z Monday from Frederick/Loudoun/Fairfax and east.

I’ll take my chances with that

[Terpeast]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

I’ll take my chances with that

Yeah thats not half bad

[LP08]

3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Seems funny. Icon and rgem were again better up top at h5 too. Former more so than the later equated a bit at the sfc

Yeah.  It deepens from 1010 to 994 and barely any precip makes it across the bay.

[aldie 22]

My company offices in SW Wisconsin overperormed today and got 10" don't know if that means anything here but

[baltosquid]

ICON ensembles bringing precip NW.

[andyhb]

One of the craziest FGEN signals I’ve ever seen off that 18z NAM. Like wtaf.

[WxUSAF]

^yyyuuppp 2-6” for the metro corridor 

[bncho]

GFS has begun 

slightly taller ridge and faster NS at initialization

[Terpeast]

5 minutes ago, andyhb said:

One of the craziest FGEN signals I’ve ever seen off that 18z NAM. Like wtaf.

Just need 30 miles west

[MN Transplant]

Trying this again.  18z except for the UKMET/GFS/Euro.  Precip that falls after 00z (Sunday 7pm) which should be able to accumulate outside of the favored areas.

 

[DDweatherman]

Just now, MN Transplant said:

Trying this again.  18z except for the UKMET/GFS/Euro.  Precip that falls after 00z (Sunday 7pm) which should be able to accumulate outside of the favored areas.

 

18z moved it a bit more west on a few of those

[bncho]

GFS slower SS, better phase

[Jersey_Snowhole]

That ridge is pumping in the west

[bncho]

I think it’s gonna be better, way more neg tilt and strong ridge

[LeesburgWx]

1 minute ago, Jersey_Snowhole said:

That ridge is pumping in the west

Yeah, liking what I see so far

[bncho]

sharper vort on the GFS... this might be a tick west

[midatlanticweather]

Gotta be careful! You do not want too much of a good thing.. because it can pump the warmth. I hope I eat my words

[bncho]

Just now, midatlanticweather said:

Gotta be careful! You do not want too much of a good thing.. because it can pump the warmth. I hope I eat my words

but it can also dynamically cool better... that's why we want our ticks west

[bncho]

heights higher downstream at 42

[arlwx12]

First guesses from the DC-area TV stations:

Channel 4: EURO 2.2 (for downtown)

Channel 5: 3-5 (more to the east)

Channel 7: Graf 2.0, Euro 2.5, NAM 6.2, GFS 13.0

Channel 9: 2-6 (more to the east)

 

[Solution Man]

Negative tilt come in nicely. Heavy snow region wide at 42

[bncho]

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, bncho said:

WOW

[weathercoins]

Just now, bncho said:

This is a gorgeous panel 

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Gotta be careful! You do not want too much of a good thing.. because it can pump the warmth. I hope I eat my words

Not sure that's a concern this time...we need rates rates rates!

[DDweatherman]

Uhhh….guys?