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February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS


Mikeymac5306
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I’m not looking forward to making a first call on my page later today. GFS has over a foot, CMC/UKMET have just a couple inches, and who knows what the Euro will show. At this point I’m confident heavy snow makes it to the Delaware River…but how far will it get into PA?

Agreed, I feel like someone in DE and Nj odds are favoring 12”+, but there’s going to be a sharp cutoff with a low deepening like this. Less wiggle room than the gfs makes you think there is.
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3 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said:

Less IVT.
 

Unless this backs west like GFS there will most likely be a screw zone between coastal and IVT.

In saying this though….it does increase the floor if the coastal were to head further east. 

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