Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[MJO812]

Cmc ensembles further west

[donsutherland1]

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

 

I would think the mayor will probably close schools on Monday

New York City switches to remote learning.

[MJO812]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Euro better but still not the GFS

Baby steps

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

 

I would think the mayor will probably close schools on Monday

here in NJ its up to each districts BOE whether to close or not 

[Nibor]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Euro better but still not the GFS

I would have been surprised if it showed what the GFS has. Still a huge step towards the GFS. 

[CentralNJSnowman]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

Pretty big gradiant for western jersey on euro

That's beginning to feel like it might be the most likely mode of 'failure' at this point.  Canadian showed a pretty sharp East/West cutoff in NJ.  Fingers crossed that it doesn't play out that way.

[JonClaw]

Last 12 Euro runs:

[Brian5671]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Baby steps

yeah it usually doesn't make big jumps at once

[Prue11]

8 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Upton, is working on an updated forecast when I asked 30 mintues ago but said odds increasing of 6 or more.

If winds verify do you think a blizzard watch woll be issued by tomorrow?

[Nibor]

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I was told not to!

Not until 12 am Saturday. 

[MJO812]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

yeah it usually doesn't make big jumps at once

What an emotional ride this was tracking this. We have 1 more day.

[Brian5671]

Just now, Prue11 said:

If winds verify do you think a blizzard watch woll be issued by tomorrow?

they dont do B watches anymore

[winterwx21]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Euro better but still not the GFS

Yeah nowhere near the GFS. We still don't know if it's going to be a moderate snowstorm or a very big one, but I'm glad all the models agree on at least a moderate snowstorm now. Getting brushed by a light event looks very unlikely now. 

[NEG NAO]

Just now, donsutherland1 said:

New York City switches to remote learning.

remote learning during a snowstorm is a waste of time IMO - here we have 3 snow days each school year built into the Calendar for the school year - used 1 so far

[Brian5671]

Just now, MJO812 said:

What an emotional ride this was tracking this. We have 1 more day.

that's half the fun right??!?!?

[Prue11]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

they dont do B watches anymore

Gotcha it’s been so long lol

[wthrmn654]

4 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

If winds verify do you think a blizzard watch woll be issued by tomorrow?

I'll ask them later on.  But further east you are, good chance for warnings.  No watches anymore. 

[RCNYILWX]

If winds verify do you think a blizzard watch woll be issued by tomorrow?

There's no such thing as a blizzard watch. Just a winter storm watch indicating the potential for blizzard conditions within the watch.

Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

[MJO812]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

that's half the fun right??!?!?

Of course

[Prue11]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

they dont do B watches anymore

So most likely winter storm watch tomorrow 

[weatherpruf]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

here in NJ its up to each districts BOE whether to close or not 

actually the superintendent. i walk with a retired one and he said he used to get up at 4 am and drive to 3 different schools with the head of maintenance; if that dude said no way, he called a snow day. and, he's a total weenie.

[MJO812]

Just now, Prue11 said:

So most likely winter storm watch tomorrow 

Most likely tonight 

I miss heavy snow warnings

[WeatherGeek2025]

3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

New York City switches to remote learning.

i never got the point of that, that was only during the corona virus. Let the kids enjoy a snow day!

[wthrmn654]

2 minutes ago, JonClaw said:

Last 12 Euro runs:

Could you speed up the loop and little bit?  

[brooklynwx99]

if we get a foot or more out of this, it would be the second biggest coup of all time behind 2016

[snowman19]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

if we get a foot or more out of this, it would be the second biggest coup of all time behind 2016

Even if this ends up as a 6-10 inch storm and the GFS is overdoing it, it will still end up scoring a coup. It was the only operational model to never completely lose it

[Freezing Drizzle]

35 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

viewers do not like hearing snow. they want to hear no snow.....i have friends right now saying it won't snow, it can't snow...not because of facts, but because they do not want it to snow....and those are the ones who are willing to even say the word...i know people who won't even say it.

I know; I live with one. lol
Seriously though, my town's streets have not recovered from the solid embankments of snow, which encroach into the roadway and are very difficult to remove.  More snow is going to be a problem.

[NEG NAO]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

if we get a foot or more out of this, it would be the second biggest coup of all time behind 2016

hope you realize this is not going to be one of those powdery snowfalls - going to be very heavy and wet clinging to everything because of the borderline temps and with high winds thats not good - Electric Company linemen will be busy

[SACRUS]

 

2/20 12z EURO Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i never got the point of that, that was only during the corona virus. Let the kids enjoy a snow day!

its usually half a day and counts as a whole day; they have plenty of time to head out. at least in nj. some districts lost a lot of days so they are not gonna call if they can help it, as it starts to come out of april break, when teachers and kids are less likely to show up because they have other plans. a district i worked in tried to make the teachers pay for their substitutes if they showed they had tickets to go away already; only the nontenured went for it. me, i just went to work. i rarely travel. as half the kids were out, it was an easy week...think this was 96.