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Severe Weather 3-30-23 and 3-31-23


cheese007
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Mesoscale Discussion 0421
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1023 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

   Areas affected...northern Mississippi

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 97...99...

   Valid 010323Z - 010530Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 97, 99 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe risk continues. Tornado environment is becoming
   more favorable across northern Mississippi.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms moving across the
   Arkansas/Mississippi border is tracking eastward into an environment
   becoming favorable for strong tornadoes. VAD profiles from DGX
   (Brandon, MS) and GWX (Columbus Air Force Base) show low-level shear
   has increased to around 400-700 m2/s2 as the nocturnal low-level jet
   has strengthened. Surface objective analysis indicates SBCAPE around
   1000-1500 J/kg ahead of the advancing line of storms. Expect the
   storms moving in from the west to organize with increasing threat of
   strong tornadoes over the next few hours.

   ..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/01/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   33879128 34389079 34879013 35008961 34978912 34958876
               34798849 34428840 34188847 34018860 33788872 33548894
               33408922 33308955 33318984 33349025 33359060 33499103
               33579118 33879128 

mcd0421 (1).png

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1 minute ago, cheese007 said:
Mesoscale Discussion 0421
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1023 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

   Areas affected...northern Mississippi

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 97...99...

   Valid 010323Z - 010530Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 97, 99 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe risk continues. Tornado environment is becoming
   more favorable across northern Mississippi.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms moving across the
   Arkansas/Mississippi border is tracking eastward into an environment
   becoming favorable for strong tornadoes. VAD profiles from DGX
   (Brandon, MS) and GWX (Columbus Air Force Base) show low-level shear
   has increased to around 400-700 m2/s2 as the nocturnal low-level jet
   has strengthened. Surface objective analysis indicates SBCAPE around
   1000-1500 J/kg ahead of the advancing line of storms. Expect the
   storms moving in from the west to organize with increasing threat of
   strong tornadoes over the next few hours.

   ..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/01/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   33879128 34389079 34879013 35008961 34978912 34958876
               34798849 34428840 34188847 34018860 33788872 33548894
               33408922 33308955 33318984 33349025 33359060 33499103
               33579118 33879128 

mcd0421 (1).png

I kinda suspected things would continue overnight but expected the mode would have shifted towards QLCS tornadoes rather continued discreet super cells in broken lines

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Oxford, MS under a tor warning

Tornado Warning
MSC071-107-010530-
/O.NEW.KMEG.TO.W.0062.230401T0439Z-230401T0530Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1139 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Lafayette County in northwestern Mississippi...
  Southeastern Panola County in northwestern Mississippi...

* Until 1230 AM CDT.

* At 1139 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located near Batesville, moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Oxford, Batesville, Holly Springs National Forest, Burgess,
  Abbeville, College Hill Station and College Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 8985 3435 8991 3453 8950 3436 8937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 248DEG 28KT 3432 8983

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1157 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

MSC071-107-010507-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230401T0530Z/
Lafayette MS-Panola MS-
1157 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE AND SOUTHEASTERN
PANOLA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for northwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3424 8985 3435 8991 3453 8950 3436 8937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 248DEG 28KT 3437 8967

$$
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