Jebman Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 59 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: On the scale of importance, there are just too many more important factors in life to consider before moving just for snow, imo Move to Tahoe! Man that place gets so damn much snow it makes Jay Peak Vermont look like central Cuba! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: So did the first chance. That’s the MO for the season. A great 10-12 look turns into a completely different look by day 7-9. It’s happened all winter long. The good news is meteorological winter starts in less than 10 months. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard22 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Round Hill WX said: The good news is meteorological winter starts in less than 10 months. I think you mean less than 9 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: So did the first chance. That’s the MO for the season. A great 10-12 look turns into a completely different look by day 7-9. It’s happened all winter long. This entire winter has been "looks good at the end of the run"...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: So did the first chance. That’s the MO for the season. A great 10-12 look turns into a completely different look by day 7-9. It’s happened all winter long. Don't disagree with anything you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Lower heights also in the east on WB 0Z Can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 WB 0Z GFS starting to run, may the force be with us…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 WB 0Z GFS starting to run, may the force be with us…. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just now, anotherman said: Admiral Akbar…I bet he doesn’t care about snow…he is trying to destroy the Death Star…no time for h5 anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Gfs looks improved more zonal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Ffs the gfs finally looks like it might be caving 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just a minor change early: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Randy gets his vertical egg as opposed to horizontal egg this run. Still not sure how this affects the end game but it's something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 117 compared up same time last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Surface still looks like shit but the slp is trying its damnedest to work its way east under the block and not into the NPlains at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Ffs the gfs finally looks like it might be cavingCaving from a warmer rain to a cooler rain? 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Run of the mill differences out West Total cave: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Caving from a warmer rain to a cooler rain? Most likely. But pretty big jump towards the better 6-7 days out still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 With the strength of that block the slp is going to be forced to redevelop. This should be interesting at the very least and draw some folks back in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Handoff and overall surface is messy but redeveloping low near OBX / Hatteras at 168. Thermals are torched tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Handoff and overall surface is messy but redeveloping low near OBX at 168. Let’s see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Not sure if this will be the end game or just a shift towards something else Miller b ish as the days go on. Doubt the maps would look this sloppy. Euro at 0z last night may have had the right idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Let’s see Just an odd depiction of a redeveloping low what, like 800 miles from primary? As unclean as you would see under such a strong block. Run definitely raises an eyebrow regardless of what surface says verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Congratulations to MN for their blizzard… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Just an odd depiction of a redeveloping low. As unclean as you would see under such a strong block. Run definitely raises an eyebrow regardless of what surface says verbatim. Looks like a cave to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Definitely some intense confluence affecting it as it approached. No way guidance is handling all those pieces precisely attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Undecided on whether to close it off and occlude it near MN under the block with a strung out cold fropa or redevelop off Hatteras miller b style. Flip a coin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Personally don't think the primary gets that far N. No other model is even close to that. GFS is playing catchup this time around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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