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The Ides of March end of Winter 2023


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Patchy light snow here, temp has been a steady 33-34ºF. Have a light coating on some parts of the yard and mulch but nothing really measurable.

The front end of this system has been a mess from the get go, which really hurt the LSV’s chance at seeing measurable with this, since there were flakes in most areas this morning.  I’ll be surprised if CTP hangs on to the advisories south of I-80 with their afternoon updates but upstream PBZ radar is looking the best it has for the whole event, with a more solid area of precip associated with the weak surface low itself. So looks fairly probable central counties will get a period of steady precip early this evening with elevation variable snow totals. 

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@psuhoffman just posted this in Mid Atlantic thread…

“It was a perfect 18z run. Does exactly

what we need wave 3. Gets the NS wave out in front just enough. Then it has wave 4 but just a bit suppressed. Perfect for that range. Lol

Both those waves will adjust around every run but 18z Gfs showed how we could conceivably win with either.  This is the first time all winter we actually had a good setup.  Ya it’s sucks it comes 3 weeks into March.”

 

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So woke up just looked up weather for the next week and wouldnt you know it local weather is showing mid 50s in the heart of the so called colder then average temps. 16-18th 55 54 51 smh. cant trust models these days 

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27 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

Looks like it's going to get into the 60's on the 16th and 17th. I was expecting it to be a lot colder this month but honestly it isn't really looking that different than normal now besides the next couple days being 5-10 below normal

After that cutter you referenced above, it looks quite cold as of now. Fair to question anything on the longer range though. 

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