Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 Some pretty enhanced echoes over middle TN. Is that just heavy rain or freezing rain? Looks like snow is just over the TN/VA border too: If I could this would be a "try Leconte" sort of a morning just see how things are up above 5000 feet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 Correlation coefficient also shows that there might be some mixed precip pretty close to the ground in the enhanced echoes just west of Knoxville: I'm under some of those higher echoes in souther Morgan county and it is just rain for me, but I would be interested to see what its like under the highest red echoes. Must be a heck of a warm nose for it to be this cold at the surface with those rates and still be rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 I've hit the goldilocks zone with this one til sunrise! About an inch and counting but the ground and air hate every second of it at 32.6 lol. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 I see @BlunderStorm on here. I was about to ask if you were seeing any snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 23 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I see @BlunderStorm on here. I was about to ask if you were seeing any snow It's been particularly heavy at times since roughly 4. Sat TV has been practically out or a parade of glitched frozen frames since. I didn't think this band would pull through or verify as advertised but I cared enough to set an alarm in case. And well, I got a half surprise with the marginal temps. There's definitely some wonky temperature profiles above me as the snow has been hitting partially melted. Seeing as how the flakes wouldn't have time to do so with a shallow warm layer at the surface. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuCoVaWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Got a bit more than yesterday. It was coming down pretty hard for a solid 2 hours earlier. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Brite banding over Knoxville. Rain drops are about the size of quarters with some sleet mixing in. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 It's been particularly heavy at times since roughly 4. Sat TV has been practically out or a parade of glitched frozen frames since. I didn't think this band would pull through or verify as advertised but I cared enough to set an alarm in case. And well, I got a half surprise with the marginal temps. There's definitely some wonky temperature profiles above me as the snow has been hitting partially melted. Seeing as how the flakes wouldn't have time to do so with a shallow warm layer at the surface.I can’t remember where you’re at. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuCoVaWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 A picture of the mountains across from my house. Very pretty this morning. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 On 2/2/2023 at 7:08 AM, PowellVolz said: I can’t remember where you’re at. . Russell county VA about 40 mins up route 19 from Abingdon or an hour NE of Gate City. Just up the Clinch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Can CC pick up rain changing into sleet? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Can CC pick up rain changing into sleet? . Maybe I'm not sure. I think it looks at a vertical and a horizontal scan so that's how it can see snow melting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 @BuCoVaWxI'll gladly take the silver medal on this one. Congrats man. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuCoVaWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 minute ago, BlunderStorm said: @BuCoVaWxI'll gladly take the silver medal on this one. Congrats man. Thanks man, not looking so bad there either. As snow starved as things have been, I'll take this and run with it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 35 here. An occasional wet flake mixing in now. Oh so close to a paste bomb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 In summary, I received around 0.5" of total sleet/freezing rain accretion over 3 waves this week. The middle wave late Tuesday was the big one as it brought half that total and triggered a rare ISW for Dickson county. We should start to melt out later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbald Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 2 hours ago, BlunderStorm said: Russell county VA about 40 mins up route 19 from Abingdon or an hour NW of Gate City. Just up the Clinch. A sign of the times when 1 inch slush/melt snow here in Wise ellicits all kinds of phone calls this morning. Pretty bleak compared to what we used to routinely get up here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 This was a textbook over-running event in west TN. When we see cold charge into TX w/ a slight eastward push...it often doesn't make it past the Plateau or even to the Plateau at all. Wave after wave of frozen precip rolled through that area. Modeling did a great job with this event, especially the CMC and RGEM. The Euro was very late in recognizing where the cold air boundary was. Also, the GFS(which was thrown out by some services) was very close to being right w/ its cold air boundary. The GFS has been decent inside of 5 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 2 hours ago, Carvers Gap said: This was a textbook over-running event in west TN. When we see cold charge into TX w/ a slight eastward push...it often doesn't make it past the Plateau or even to the Plateau at all. Wave after wave of frozen precip rolled through that area. Modeling did a great job with this event, especially the CMC and RGEM. The Euro was very late in recognizing where the cold air boundary was. Also, the GFS(which was thrown out by some services) was very close to being right w/ its cold air boundary. The GFS has been decent inside of 5 days. Yes, but quicker to realize the sagging south of the final wave of precip where other modeling had it into east TN..... so I guess not great, but good on the back end. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Round 3 last night packed a punch, definitely added to our ice total significantly. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 5 hours ago, Carvers Gap said: This was a textbook over-running event in west TN. When we see cold charge into TX w/ a slight eastward push...it often doesn't make it past the Plateau or even to the Plateau at all. Wave after wave of frozen precip rolled through that area. Modeling did a great job with this event, especially the CMC and RGEM. The Euro was very late in recognizing where the cold air boundary was. Also, the GFS(which was thrown out by some services) was very close to being right w/ its cold air boundary. The GFS has been decent inside of 5 days. Yeah, it was just tough when you know we were oh so close to a really nice snow event. But that is life, just glad we got to see some wintry action! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 I agree the GFS while wild outside 5 days was pretty good inside 5. I think the CMC did the best with overall pattern recognition. The euro struggled with boundary location and played catch-up. The GFS did sound the alarm on it in way out range but then fluctuated wildly until day 5. The Canadian seemed to catch on early and pretty much lock it in. Just my summary from a novice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 The euro did well with precipitation in different waves but terrible in temps for sure. Definitely played catchup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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