weathafella Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: We’re actually staying right up the road from storyland but we would probably get arrested if we went inside in the winter. I was there once or twice when our daughter was small. But yeah in the summer but they used to open during the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Just speaking of the next 5 days of snow sleet freezing rain then an Arctic front with squalls. Full winter nights with snow OTG. Let's go i would lower the bar a little more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 36 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i would lower the bar a little more 16 hrs left in the period. Thunder snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: 55 here, driving with the windows half open are you sure they weren't half closed? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 16 hrs left in the period. Thunder snow? it's 60 right now what are you holding on to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 46 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: are you sure they weren't half closed? Damn, you're right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 53 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it's 60 right now what are you holding on to Absolutely gorgeous and what better way to end it then with convective snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 18z GFS drank too many beers while grilling dinner this balmy evening. It decided to go full-on weenie with 2/26 and 2/28 back to back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 2/28 solution was run off runnawayiceberg’s computer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Wish we could lock in the 28th on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/28 solution was run off runnawayiceberg’s computer. We’ve been so patient, folding every hand. Our stack is dwindling, the blinds are way up…we’re about to just shove it all in now with KQ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS drank too many beers while grilling dinner this balmy evening. It decided to go full-on weenie with 2/26 and 2/28 back to back. Considering the variations over the last 24 hours of run cycles...the whole period strikes me as though the physical processes "detect" the underlying index scaled ginormous potential, but the smaller scaled movements over top are doing so, so fast the model can't use one to really exhaust that volatility. It seems like every virga shrouded CU the model tries to run through the 80 to 60W window the model tries to turn it into a 965 mb low going S of NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Yeah... the -NAO is delaying the last several runs...That's why that GFS is doing that. Prior to about 18z yesterday, the NAO blocking was faster to retrograde, and it was timed so that the 28th would be forced to slow down a bit. Now, ...it's more like Mar 2 .. 5, and that leaves these leading systems to careen east in the otherwise compressed/gradient saturated heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 And what bizarre looking system late on the 26th thru early 27th ... It's cinema has an ANA backside with a deep low out in front. Something tells me future guidance will be morphing that into something that actually typically happens on Earth. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wish we could lock in the 28th on gfs. That was basically porn for Ct people. Such a tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Just speaking of the next 5 days of snow sleet freezing rain then an Arctic front with squalls. Full winter nights with snow OTG. Let's go Gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 All those storms and a positive nao haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 I guess you could argue east based nao helping. But not from the block everyone is hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I guess you could argue east based nao helping. But not from the block everyone is hoping for. Exactly...and when half the block is actually eclipsing the British Isles aspect of the NW European continent ...how east does it have to be before we can just call it a block and leave it at that... It does start rero motion but not until this month is gone - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Exactly...and when half the block is actually eclipsing the British Isles aspect of the NW European continent ...how east does it have to be before we can just call it a block and leave it at that... It does start rero motion but not until this month is gone - Sometimes those can be better because it doesn’t shove all the cold and the PV to Vancouver lol. Those exotic blocks we all crave can do that which opens up for December all over again. I know it’s not always like that, but some of the models have shown that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Hour 198 on 3/1 18z gfs would be a major snowstorm probably above a foot for CT. What could go wrong in 198 hrs hehe. We dream for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 That GFS run is forum nirvana. From South Coast to Cape Code to PWM to BTV. I mean I can’t think of a better forum wide run. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: That GFS run is forum porn. From South Coast to Cape Code to PWM to BTV. I mean I can’t think of a better forum wide run. Think Ray would lose it if I got 2 feet plus whole he got 17 18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 God. I've been looking at that run for a good 45 Mins 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Think Ray would lose it if I got 2 feet plus whole he got 17 18 Haha now that you say it, sort of looks like his nightmare he talks about. Something like he’d rather get 6” if others get none, over maxes south and north while suffering to 18”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/28 solution was run off runnawayiceberg’s computer. That was a monster run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Think Ray would lose it if I got 2 feet plus whole he got 17 18 And a well deserved TFlizz sne jack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That GFS run is forum nirvana. From South Coast to Cape Code to PWM to BTV. I mean I can’t think of a better forum wide run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: Sell. This is 7 AM on the 28th so presumably, a good bit more to come, and also includes the prior snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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