January 23rd Storm Threat: keeping positive vibes, ending chances of futility

[40/70 Benchmark]

58 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

So normally one should expect half what those snow products show.  
 

3-6”?

That is about what the new accumulated snow depth product is....much more reasonable.

NARCAN, too. 10:1 maps no bueno in these marginal deals.

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wrong. My ideal track is between the BM and ACK....ORH hills out to Berkshires over the cape.

I wasn't talking about your backyard in CNE.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

I wasn't talking about your backyard in CNE.

Well, me over to ORH is still interior SNE.

[George001]

53 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I don’t think we’re getting an inland track.  The problem is no high to hold cold in for long even with a coastal track

I don’t think it’s going to be a cutter, but in my opinion there will be a low right over my noggin, not offshore. If the low is offshore I’m not buying that it won’t be cold enough, not in late January. It isn’t even that warm right now, 28 in Boston. 

[George001]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

I wasn't talking about your backyard in CNE.

Even my area normally does well with lows over the cape in mid winter. A couple of those big Jan blizzards in 2011 went over the cape, and I believe even the blizzard of 78 did. Hell, even in late winter it’s possible to get big snows without an optimal track. In March 2017 the low went west of my area and I still got about 10 inches of snow before changing over to sleet and then rain.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I don’t particularly care for the BL temps for SE NH basically SE of MHT  

no idea what to make of Monday day stuff but I’ll sell 5” worth falling post 12z 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, George001 said:

Even my area normally does well with lows over the cape in mid winter. A couple of those big Jan blizzards in 2011 went over the cape, and I believe even the blizzard of 78 did. Hell, even in late winter it’s possible to get big snows without an optimal track. In March 2017 the low went west of my area and I still got about 10 inches of snow before changing over to sleet and then rain.

Blizz of 78 didn't go over the cape

[40/70 Benchmark]

24.6

[ineedsnow]

Euro is great here and gets most of SNE with something 

[Thunderblizzard]

That CCB was pretty robust on the Euro... slightly more than 12z was.

[ineedsnow]

ill be shocked if BOX doesnt upgrade to a warning here 

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

24.6

Man, diurnal jackpot...after having clouds hang around all day to cap it at 30.7, it's now cleared and radiating down to 22.8.

Hopefully it coulds up again just after dawn.

[40/70 Benchmark]

EURO looks exactly like 12z after 18z had ticked warmer.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Meanwhile....back at the ranch....19.9

[40/70 Benchmark]

00z left, 12z right

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/final-call-for-sunday-night-monday.html

[40/70 Benchmark]

Nice radiation....damn, 19.0

Great time to weenie out after wife and kids have passed out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

17.6...nice, fake cold with fresh snowpack augmenting radiation-

[Greg]

3 hours ago, George001 said:

Even my area normally does well with lows over the cape in mid winter. A couple of those big Jan blizzards in 2011 went over the cape, and I believe even the blizzard of 78 did. Hell, even in late winter it’s possible to get big snows without an optimal track. In March 2017 the low went west of my area and I still got about 10 inches of snow before changing over to sleet and then rain.

'78 remained offshore, never even grazed Nantucket. '78 was an in-between the Benchmark and Nantucket Island track headed in an east/northeasterly direction.

[powderfreak]

3km NAM bump north.  Maine guys destroyed there.  Weird, there’s the super amped run.

12k

 

GFS is way south though.

[powderfreak]

HRRR looks much more reasonable than NAM though.

HERPIES way south.

[dendrite]

NAM north. GFS south. 

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

NAM north. GFS south. 

Chickens look crushed on many of these runs.

Coop Crushers.

[Ginx snewx]

Share the wealth Euro compromise. Man paster for some

4 hours ago, Thunderblizzard said:

That CCB was pretty robust on the Euro... slightly more than 12z was.

 

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

17.6...nice, fake cold with fresh snowpack augmenting radiation-

Isn’t that still above normal? lol

 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Isn’t that still above normal? lol

 

 

[George001]

1 hour ago, Greg said:

'78 remained offshore, never even grazed Nantucket. '78 was an in-between the Benchmark and Nantucket Island track headed in an east/northeasterly direction.

I stand corrected, sorry for the false info.

[Ginx snewx]

Weather peeps

[dendrite]

He radiates. Lowel COOP has a normal min of 15° today. Point is it’s near normal. Just another indicator of how pathetic this winter has been… when a near normal low feels frigid. lol

Got down to 12.6° here. CON 9°. Still haven’t been below 9° yet here. So weird. 

[UnitedWx]

27 degrees here. I wake up to see guidance I'd expect more north has held south and vice versa with others. Interesting, where's my coffee...