Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

January 2023


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

RGEM shuts out most south of I-84 on the rest of this storm and Wed. Warmer than most other models but a distinct possibility if the ESE flow gets to work on the boundary layer before the precip moves in, the main overrunning push when it would be cold enough misses us, etc. 

RGEM has no precip into NYC until 7 pm Wed. I’d be surprised if that happens 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

With no ssw I doubt the end of Feb and march would be interesting. 

Yeah, that's where I'm at too. I've been thinking that for a while. I'm with you on this. Maybe we send the vortex on the Alaskan tour and fire up a warm spring. That would be fine with me after this mess. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah, that's where I'm at too. I've been thinking that for a while. I'm with you on this. Maybe we send the vortex on the Alaskan tour and fire up a warm spring. That would be fine with me after this mess. 

If the SPV restrengthens in mid-late February my cold/possibly snowy March idea is going to go down in flames
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, mannynyc said:

GFS appears to be slightly colder for Wednesday. 

Where the overrunning precip goes when it's still cold enough is very important, GFS does have a period of snow on Wed before it gets too warm. RGEM holds the precip back until it's too warm and the NAM seems to overshoot it north of NYC and it doesn't really get going near the coast until it's too late. Regardless, the snow will be washed away for 90% of this subforum by the end of it.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Where the overrunning precip goes when it's still cold enough is very important, GFS does have a period of snow on Wed before it gets too warm. RGEM holds the precip back until it's too warm and the NAM seems to overshoot it north of NYC and it doesn't really get going near the coast until it's too late. Regardless, the snow will be washed away for 90% of this subforum by the end of it.

If the CMC and RGEM are correct and the precip holds off until the midlevels start torching, this will be a brief non accumulating snow/sleet onset then very quickly over to all rain. The way this winter has gone, I don’t think any of us would be surprised if that’s actually the outcome
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Rjay unpinned this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...