Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Church Storm here we come only 5 days away as well. I will be passing the offering plate around later today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 31 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Nice work Blizz. You're all over this one, so keep up the good mojo and bring it home for us (well us as in most of the forum, as I'm likely in trouble down here). This has been slowly creeping the wrong way. Played this song too many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: This has been slowly creeping the wrong way. Played this song too many times. I am not on the "played this song too many times" bandwagon as I think each threat is individual, but you are right in that the situation looked a bit better 24-48 hours ago. (LSV.) Speaking of the Chruch storm. The CMC change in snow coverage over the last 24 hours as an example: 0Z Yesterday 0Z Today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not on the "played this song too many times" bandwagon as I think each threat is individual, but you are right in that the situation looked a bit better 24-48 hours ago. (LSV.) Speaking of the Chruch storm. EURO is the King gotta be right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 24 minutes ago, Superstorm said: This has been slowly creeping the wrong way. Played this song too many times. Never want to be on the SE edge of the blues...like, almost never does that work out. Now we're actually on the outside looking in for the blue area. Doesn't mean it won't come back, but as you said VERY accurately, that's not the way this usually works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Finished with .01" of rain last night. Beautiful morning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not on the "played this song too many times" bandwagon as I think each threat is individual, but you are right in that the situation looked a bit better 24-48 hours ago. (LSV.) Speaking of the Chruch storm. The CMC change in snow coverage over the last 24 hours as an example: 0Z Yesterday 0Z Today I agree in principle with you. But, I think the odds are tilted very strongly against those of us SE of MDT. Hope I'm wrong! No I don't - I'm going to Philly Sunday night. Go team rain! (after midnight Sunday, it can snow like the dickens the rest of the winter) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I agree in principle with you. But, I think the odds are tilted very strongly against those of us SE of MDT. Hope I'm wrong! No I don't - I'm going to Philly Sunday night. Go team rain! (after midnight Sunday, it can snow like the dickens the rest of the winter) Ha. I just do not like that the "snow fall line" has moved from well into VA up into SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 I will be passing the offering plate around later today. Good. I could use a few bucks. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ha. I just do not like that the "snow fall line" has moved from well into VA up into SE PA. Exactly. Most times...not all, but certainly more than enough, we want to be in the middle of the zone or even on the northern edge when we do well. Riding the southern/SE edge has not worked out for us in the past. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 59 minutes ago, Superstorm said: This has been slowly creeping the wrong way. Played this song too many times. and thats why I said yesterday that we may not be good for the "church" storm, but while it's creepin the wrong way, its still getting a lot closer to being good for us. thats they point I've been trying to make. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Good trends today! I feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: Good trends today! I feel it. or is that the coffee just doing its thingy......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Good trends today! I feel it. Hopefully all 4 main globals are successful in getting their extra points across. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Hopefully all 4 main globals are successful in getting their extra points across. LOL 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 as we try to decide if we are gonna take sleigh or boat to church, the normal upslopers look to get a fresh coating of white stuff in advance of it. (map shown for visual appeal and NOT a forecast). Cant believe we still have to type a disclaimer so deep into weather discos, but some think we print out pics of snowmaps and tape them to windows waiting to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: as we try to decide if we are gonna take sleigh or boat to church, the normal upslopers look to get a fresh coating of white stuff in advance of it. (map shown for visual appeal and NOT a forecast). Cant believe we still have to type a disclaimer so deep into weather discos, but some think we print out pics of snowmaps and tape them to windows waiting to verify. Just bring that down a few notches south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 It Looks like a thunderstorm is brewing outside LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 It Looks like a thunderstorm is brewing outside LOL.That's from all the blasphemy going on in here by describing the potential weather event as #ChurchStorm2K23. YHWH IC XC FLYNG SKTI MNSTR doesn't play that. Y'all heathens need to base the weather off of other crap you won't be going to. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: That's from all the blasphemy going on in here by describing the potential weather event as #ChurchStorm2K23. YHWH IC XC FLYNG SKTI MNSTR doesn't play that. Y'all heathens need to base the weather off of other crap you won't be going to. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk My intention was just to suggest church service could be affected. No heathenery intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: My intention was just to suggest church service could be affected. No heathenery intended. Yep I knew what you were referring it to. I like it! Church Storm 2023. Might as well call it something, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 6 hours ago, Ruin said: im in south central PA and the start of fall went from like 86 the day before down to the 60s for the next 2 weeks. we had people at work complaining how it sucked going from really hot weather to chilly out of no where. Mind you these were older people. it even then became even colder down to the 50s for a good week when we should of been in the low 70s. It seemed colder to me too, in part because we somewhat abruptly shifted to cooler temps around the 20th or 21st of September, as opposed to having the summer-like temps extend well into October. Our September temps for the last 10 days or so (and extending into early October) were normal to below normal. We had milder periods throughout October and November but if memory serves those were, again, interspersed throughout a baseline of normal and occasionally below-normal temps (in contrast to the “new normal” well above average temps of recent years) December was so busy it went by in a blur but my very imperfect memory suggests it was *close* to normal but on the milder side throughout most of the month. So fall (IMBY at least) seemed to be on the cooler side this year but December seemed more a continuation of fall than the start of met winter. ETA: Not to stray too far off topic, I’m looking forward to the end of next week and the possibility (finally!) of seeing some snowy weather. If we get a solid couple weeks of opportunities and some hits out of those, and maybe a couple more weeks with enough cold to maintain some snowpack, I’ll be looking at this as a decent winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 12Z GFS was an improvement for the North and N W 2/3 of the state. Still a Rainer for the LSV. Low cuts from the Gulf up just West of the Apps and is then blocked/reforms off the Delmarva. Gets too far North for the MA and LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z GFS was an improvement for the North and N W 2/3 of the state. Still a Rainer for the LSV. Low cuts from the Gulf up just West of the Apps and is then blocked/reforms off the Delmarva. Gets too far North for the MA and LSV. Euro still hanging on lets hope for 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, paweather said: Euro still hanging on lets hope for 12z. What say you Icon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z GFS was an improvement for the North and N W 2/3 of the state. Still a Rainer for the LSV. Low cuts from the Gulf up just West of the Apps and is then blocked/reforms off the Delmarva. Gets too far North for the MA and LSV. CMC "looks" like it might do the same type of deal - need to see the next 2 panels yet though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: CMC "looks" like it might do the same type of deal - need to see the next 2 panels yet though... Yea, looking a little similar. The ICON is totally on its own minoring out the first wave and forming a new one off the Carolinas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 hours ago, Superstorm said: This has been slowly creeping the wrong way. Played this song too many times. If this is wrong....it feels so right. edit: map already posted but his non heathen will leave it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Interesting article. I know many of us probably feel frustration when trying to talk about the weather in a rational way. Everyone seems to only want to use catch phrases. "What time will the atmospheric river be over my house?" https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/science/weather-forecasts-language.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 CMC and GFS at 12z look almost identical - perhaps a bit more frozen early on in the SE on the CMC but the overall evolution is nearly lock step with the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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