North and West Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Yesterday I saw insects flying in the garden. This would have been unthinkable when I was a kid.I bet it happened but we just didn’t notice it as kids. (This isn’t about whether or not climate change is occurring; it’s more about wheat we do and do not notice as kids.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzwalker Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Chasing snow... 10 days ago near Blackhead Mt in Catskills. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzwalker said: Chasing snow... 10 days ago near Blackhead Mt in Catskills. Me too. Lake Placid today: 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 The Curse of Pamela is upon you! 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 Roses are red Violets are blue The curse of Pamela Is upon ALL of you 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 If we are depending on a backloaded winter we fail at that more times then not but we'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/28/2022 at 6:35 PM, Rjay said: Will EWR hit 90 in January? Forky will love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/28/2022 at 10:26 AM, FPizz said: They didn't. Most brought nothing besides a new shot of cold air. Some brought a dusting to an inch and once in a blue moon a 2 to 4 Well now they don't even seem to make it here. The one we had last week was just mostly cloudy skies for a bit. On the plus side....I got to take a picture of an amazing sight. Even in all this cold weather....the wild parrots are doing well, just huddled together trying to stay warm lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 And it's rather funny all three of them never faced the same direction it was either two of them pointed at me and one pointed away or two of them pointed away and only one pointed at me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 One more after this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 They were here for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/30/2022 at 4:32 PM, Rtd208 said: If we are depending on a backloaded winter we fail at that more times then not but we'll see. Like backloaded storms lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/29/2022 at 10:08 PM, forkyfork said: The Curse of Pamela is upon you! Is an exorcism required? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/29/2022 at 2:54 PM, donsutherland1 said: To preemptively address a tweet concerning extremes and climate change: The line of argument is that because extremes happened in the past, extremes cannot be linked to climate change. In fact, because synoptic events occur within the context of, among other things, climate forcings, that line of argument is flawed. There is no compelling statistical or physical reason internal variability and a warmer climate must be mutually exclusive outcomes. With climate change, one has witnessed a continuation of extremes. When it comes to temperatures, one has seen a decided shift in extremes toward warmer outcomes reflecting the warming of the climate. For purposes of illustration, I compared minimum temperatures for New York City for the December 1891-1920 and 1991-2020 periods. Statistically, 3-sigma events exist in both regimes. But the meaning of a 3-sigma event differs. The December 25, 2022 low temperature of 7° was a 3-sigma event. In the climate regime of a century ago, a 3-sigma event would have had a low temperature below 2°. Below is a graph with the distribution of daily low temperatures for both climate regimes. Notice the rightward shift in the distribution of low temperatures (warming). Both regimes still have tails, but the numbers in the tails differ reflecting the warming of the climate (urban heat island and anthropogenic warming). 1966-67 is listed among my favorite types of winters and years and why sometimes very snowy winters follow very hot summers....when an el nino is ending (which happened early in 1966) there is a heat release and that resulted in the very wonderfully hot and dry summer of 1966, which was followed by a pseudo la nina the next winter..... so the combo of the ending el nino's STJ jet combined with the arctic shots that come from a la nina (it wasn't officially, but neutral is good enough for me) gave us the amazing winter we had that year. It bears a lot of similarities to 1995-96....when we had the mild January after the blizzard and then a roaring return to winter in February and March. And that was also a very hot summer followed by a very snowy winter and also an el nino followed by a la nina....and it happened again in 2010-11 (very hot and dry summer followed by a snowy winter because of an el nino followed by a la nina)! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/29/2022 at 10:37 AM, bkviking said: Anyone know what happened to Isotherm? Miss his analysis. I think his last winter outlook a few years ago frustrated him. He was reading this thread tonight. Happy New Years! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 54 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: He was reading this thread tonight. Happy New Years! Are you responding to every single post! I think this is a record even for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2023 Author Share Posted January 1, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 30 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Are you responding to every single post! I think this is a record even for you. No not even close, my record is 15! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2023 Author Share Posted January 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: No not even close, my record is 15! 17 I believe 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy new year! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 25 minutes ago, Rjay said: 17 I believe Well I would like that-- my mom's birthday was Sept 17 and mine was Sept 15, so I have a special connection to both numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy New Years everyone! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2023 Author Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy new year! May Allsnow uncancel winter some time this month! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: Happy new year! May Allsnow uncancel winter some time this month! Change his name to Allsnowcancel until he does! And Happy New Years! This rainy New Years reminds me of an old Dan Fogelberg song about snow changing to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: No not even close, my record is 15! All good fellow lynbrooker! Happy new year! 23 is going be an amazing weather year! Micheal Jordan says so! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy Snow Year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 The snow bow is on my wreath. This should change our luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 15 minutes ago, tdp146 said: The snow bow is on my wreath. This should change our luck. We need all the luck we can get at this point…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 my niece just handed me an etch a sketch and she's either trying to draw an elephant or there's +10 850s over the metro through february 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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