Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Looking ahead, I wonder if we see things shift late month to a bit more SE ridging into early December before another favorable shift maybe after 12/10?   We may see tropical forcing get more established maritime continent again before trying to tickle east. 

Yes, I think early December backs off a bit. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

You on board yet.? Last week you were saying just not record highs change. We flip hard.

I'm getting there, ha.  The last several cycles of the GFS have been pretty consistent in that trough moving in at day 7 (next Sunday) not being just a transient in/out.

I want to keep seeing that not being modeled as a 72-hour shot followed by moderating again.  For the ski areas the key will be sustaining that cold through that following week.  The trough seems fairly high-confidence now... but if 850s can stay below 0C for that entire week that's a bit difference from just cold then lift out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I'm getting there, ha.  The last several cycles of the GFS have been pretty consistent in that trough moving in at day 7 (next Sunday) not being just a transient in/out.

I want to keep seeing that not being modeled as a 72-hour shot followed by moderating again.  For the ski areas the key will be sustaining that cold through that following week.  The trough seems fairly high-confidence now... but if 850s can stay below 0C for that entire week that's a bit difference from just cold then lift out.

 

download (8).png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...