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November 2022


Stormlover74
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30 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Those very warm waters north of Australia are concerning and here’s why: 

 

The big December climate shift occurred around 2011 following the epic run of cold and snowy Decembers from 2002 to 2010. The SSTs were much colder north of Australia back during those years. Also much more Atlantic blocking and colder SSTs east of our area. 
 

Since 2011, we had had the warmest run of Decembers on record. Plenty of MJO 5-6 forcing and a very +AO and +NAO pattern. Also notice the record warm pool east of New England. This record warm pool north of Australia had become a reoccurring theme. Notice the VP anomalies all focused in the 5-6 MJO region over the last decade.
 

E63D444B-E1B7-4ED7-A257-B5A82A8334CA.png.ec7515cb8a789e402132c0253e74d0a0.png

AE364E7A-2859-4A7F-8316-86B3F00FBEEC.png.2bfc73d882b978a299db0bbed99ca809.png

FEF94AD7-20DD-45C2-A767-8BD088AD1816.png.f34d2794e15a6f36b37b0a69fa046947.png

 


A336F837-568C-4826-8304-1EAB75B62BE7.png.8affbb53ed212cb88eda38dc6185feb7.png


C3E819DA-D341-4911-AE66-0CFAFBED0E9D.png.c5ea8acd25261a7fde8b824c6c0d8864.png

 


FF7A2246-9ECD-4D3A-83EB-6AB63F31F21B.png.1a934e4318b80eae92a6d6b3c9ead387.png

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The big December climate shift occurred around 2011 following the epic run of cold and snowy Decembers from 2002 to 2010. The SSTs were much colder north of Australia back during those years. Also much more Atlantic blocking and colder SSTs east of our area. 
 

Since 2011, we had had the warmest run of Decembers on record. Plenty of MJO 5-6 forcing and a very +AO and +NAO pattern. Also notice the record warm pool east of New England. This record warm pool north of Australia had become a reoccurring theme. Notice the VP anomalies all focused in the 5-6 MJO region over the last decade.
 

E63D444B-E1B7-4ED7-A257-B5A82A8334CA.png.ec7515cb8a789e402132c0253e74d0a0.png

AE364E7A-2859-4A7F-8316-86B3F00FBEEC.png.2bfc73d882b978a299db0bbed99ca809.png

FEF94AD7-20DD-45C2-A767-8BD088AD1816.png.f34d2794e15a6f36b37b0a69fa046947.png

 


A336F837-568C-4826-8304-1EAB75B62BE7.png.8affbb53ed212cb88eda38dc6185feb7.png


C3E819DA-D341-4911-AE66-0CFAFBED0E9D.png.c5ea8acd25261a7fde8b824c6c0d8864.png

 


FF7A2246-9ECD-4D3A-83EB-6AB63F31F21B.png.1a934e4318b80eae92a6d6b3c9ead387.png

Thanks for this. Both decades (2000 onwards) were amazing for snowfall which is incredible given the vast difference in the water temps in that region. Obviously 2000 to 2010 was more blocking and 2010 to 2021 was more EPO occasional SSWE driven.

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8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks for this. Both decades (2000 onwards) were amazing for snowfall which is incredible given the vast difference in the water temps in that region. Obviously 2000 to 2010 was more blocking and 2010 to 2021 was more EPO occasional SSWE driven.

The average December snowfall in NYC declined from 9.4” to 3.1”.

 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Dec
Season
Mean 9.4 9.4
2002 11.0 11.0
2003 19.8 19.8
2004 3.0 3.0
2005 9.7 9.7
2006 0.0 0.0
2007 2.9 2.9
2008 6.0 6.0
2009 12.4 12.4
2010 20.1 20.1


 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Dec
Season
Mean 3.1 3.1
2011 0.0 0.0
2012 0.4 0.4
2013 8.6 8.6
2014 1.0 1.0
2015 T T
2016 3.2 3.2
2017 7.7 7.7
2018 T T
2019 2.5 2.5
2020 10.5 10.5
2021 0.2 0.2

 

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43 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The average December snowfall in NYC declined from 9.4” to 3.1”.

 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Dec
Season
Mean 9.4 9.4
2002 11.0 11.0
2003 19.8 19.8
2004 3.0 3.0
2005 9.7 9.7
2006 0.0 0.0
2007 2.9 2.9
2008 6.0 6.0
2009 12.4 12.4
2010 20.1 20.1


 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Dec
Season
Mean 3.1 3.1
2011 0.0 0.0
2012 0.4 0.4
2013 8.6 8.6
2014 1.0 1.0
2015 T T
2016 3.2 3.2
2017 7.7 7.7
2018 T T
2019 2.5 2.5
2020 10.5 10.5
2021 0.2 0.2

 

Ah sorry I went whole winter missed that this was just December. 

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1 hour ago, lee59 said:

As was mentioned earlier, the Lake Effect is going to be in full force this weekend. With, apparently a WSW wind, the areas around Buffalo and Watertown seem to be in the bullseye.

...yeah..who's going to Buffalo this weekend.?..Euro has 18"..GFS has 2-3 feet..and oh yeah..the Bill's are home..

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