Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Winter 2022-2023 Digital Snow Thread


SnowenOutThere
 Share

Recommended Posts

12 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Exactly 

Looking back at the numbers...Interestingly, it's been a mixed bag following October snow...Going back to the 1970s: (BWI numbers)

1972: Trace, 72-73 Winter: 1.2"   

1977: Trace, 77-78 Winter: 34.3"

1979: 0.3", 79-80 Winter: 14.6"

2004: Trace, 04-05 Winter: 18.3"

2011:..........well, ya know, lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 10/6/2022 at 9:33 PM, WinterWxLuvr said:

You might want to study the winters where measurable snow fell in October.

Give me sunny and 60’s until Nov 15

Very small sample size.  Also very fluke type thing.  It's definitely not a good omen but I'm not convinced there is adequate evidence to say its bad.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, mappy said:

840hrs? lollolololol

We need a formula that calculates the model-predicted snowfall as averaged for the season. You'd probably need an API and someone with coding experience to get it down pat, but it would be awesome to come up with something to show that X model "actually predicted" 32" of snow for Dulles this past season or whatever.

I have an idea as to how it would work, but don't have the skills to make it happen...which is why I'm just a PM for a highly technical team and not an actual developer. :lol:

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, mattie g said:

We need a formula that calculates the model-predicted snowfall as averaged for the season. You'd probably need an API and someone with coding experience to get it down pat, but it would be awesome to come up with something to show that X model "actually predicted" 32" of snow for Dulles this past season or whatever.

I have an idea as to how it would work, but don't have the skills to make it happen...which is why I'm just a PM for a highly technical team and not an actual developer. :lol:

I agree that would be pretty fun to track, but alas I too lack coding skills. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, mattie g said:

We need a formula that calculates the model-predicted snowfall as averaged for the season. You'd probably need an API and someone with coding experience to get it down pat, but it would be awesome to come up with something to show that X model "actually predicted" 32" of snow for Dulles this past season or whatever.

I have an idea as to how it would work, but don't have the skills to make it happen...which is why I'm just a PM for a highly technical team and not an actual developer. :lol:

I’ve thought about tracking model snowfall as predicted at 24/48/72hrs through the season, but I’d do it manually and that’s a lot of work. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, mattie g said:

We need a formula that calculates the model-predicted snowfall as averaged for the season. You'd probably need an API and someone with coding experience to get it down pat, but it would be awesome to come up with something to show that X model "actually predicted" 32" of snow for Dulles this past season or whatever.

I have an idea as to how it would work, but don't have the skills to make it happen...which is why I'm just a PM for a highly technical team and not an actual developer. :lol:

You would have to apply some sort of weighting to it.  Like, if a random GFS 18z run threw out 20” of snow at the 312 hour mark, but then took it away, you can’t seriously say that the GFS forecasted 20” of snow that never occurred.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

You would have to apply some sort of weighting to it.  Like, if a random GFS 18z run threw out 20” of snow at the 312 hour mark, but then took it away, you can’t seriously say that the GFS forecasted 20” of snow that never occurred.

 

So in other words....nevermind 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...