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October 2022 OBS/DISC


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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wet for who ? This looks like one of those deals where a few of the minority wet models are  too far north with qpf and adjust south . There’s another strong high pressing down just like this weekend. If the IBM and HRRR are showing qpf Monday evening.. then it’s time to think rain . If not , it’s dry 

I'll give you this, you were right about this weekend. But you made many calls yourself in the winter time where things didn't turn out the way you thought. Point is, sometimes you win sometimes you lose. I do hope it changes and we get the rain. We kind of need it to get out of this drought situation. Fingers crossed

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s bad on convection and snow in general . Seems to do well with coastals and dry air presses 

the dry air isn't pressing much by Tuesday, which is why the rain makes headway. I think .25 up to the CT MA border, 5-.75+ SE areas

 

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4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s bad on convection and snow in general . Seems to do well with coastals and dry air presses 

Wouldn’t coastals be snow or only applies to above 32F coastals?

Basically it’s good when one is worried about no precip and it shows no precip?  It’s a tool like anything else, it’s run frequently enough that you can sort of find the HRRR run that’s right.

It feels sort of like if a model is relatively correct for one or two systems we as a forum collectively are like, yup that’s the model to look at.

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1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

the dry air isn't pressing much by Tuesday, which is why the rain makes headway. I think .25 up to the CT MA border, 5-.75+ SE areas

 

Could be but I’ll sell that 



Fortunately for those hoping for some dry weather to enjoy the
foliage or outdoor activities, it does look like the bulk of the
rain/overcast conditions will be to our south. Best chance for
occasional showers or periods of rain will be across southeast MA
and southern RI.
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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Could be but I’ll sell that 



Fortunately for those hoping for some dry weather to enjoy the
foliage or outdoor activities, it does look like the bulk of the
rain/overcast conditions will be to our south. Best chance for
occasional showers or periods of rain will be across southeast MA
and southern RI.

Seems to be Trending north…plus I washed the truck today and it’s super clean, so it’ll rain for sure now. :weep:

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1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

the dry air isn't pressing much by Tuesday, which is why the rain makes headway. I think .25 up to the CT MA border, 5-.75+ SE areas

 

Gunna be wet here. I’ve heard Stein this, Stein that a lot over the last few weeks and it’s found a way to rain on a semi regular basis.

That tweet from Stein about the projected rainfall deficit over the next two weeks is total clown stuff. It’s fall, that can change fast.

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9 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup…it looked familiar to me. Isn’t there a ski area across the street from the place…is it Bretton Woods?  My girl and I stayed in North Conway at a bed and breakfast  6-7 yrs ago in August, and we went over one evening to eat and drink…gorgeous place. If I remember correctly, can see the back side of Mt Washington from there no? 

BearOmniMountWashingtonResort_courtesy1.

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9 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gunna be wet here. I’ve heard Stein this, Stein that a lot over the last few weeks and it’s found a way to rain on a semi regular basis.

That tweet from Stein about the projected rainfall deficit over the next two weeks is total clown stuff. It’s fall, that can change fast.

He’s alive and well here

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28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Temp dropped all day yesterday . It’s been in the 40’s since about 2:30 yesterday. Low is current temp of 44.0. Cloudy, chilly, windy. The way early fall should be where you can wear shorts, but need a hoodie outside. 

Its been refreshing to actually have a real fall for once.

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Quite cold this morning, That should finish off the garden. 
000
ASUS41 KGYX 031110
RWRGYX
WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
700 AM EDT MON OCT 03 2022

MEZ002-005-006-010-012-015-018-020-021-024-026-027-029-031200-
MAINE

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PORTLAND       PTCLDY    38  32  79 N9        30.35S
SANFORD        CLEAR     37  33  85 N5        30.36R
BAR HARBOR     CLEAR     34  32  92 N3        30.37R
WISCASSET      CLEAR     35  30  82 CALM      30.38R
ROCKLAND       CLEAR     38  36  92 NE5       30.36R
FRYEBURG       CLEAR     27  25  92 CALM      30.38R
LEWISTONAUBURN CLEAR     27  27 100 CALM      30.38R
AUGUSTA        CLEAR     34  31  88 N7        30.38R
WATERVILLE     CLEAR     33  30  88 N8        30.36R
BANGOR         PTCLDY    29  27  92 CALM      30.39R
GREENVILLE       N/A     33  30  88 N5        30.34R
MILLINOCKET    CLEAR     28  26  92 CALM      30.40R
HOULTON        CLEAR     26  23  88 CALM      30.37R
PRESQUE ISLE   CLEAR     24  23  96 CALM      30.39R
FRENCHVILLE    CLEAR     31  25  78 NW6       30.35S
CARIBOU        CLEAR     27  24  89 CALM      30.37R
$$
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