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16 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah, we're fortunate that we're just getting into the northern edge of this rain band.

 

Looking ahead to tuesday's potential, 12z NAM and RGEM keep most of the rain to our south. That's still a very close call ... we don't know yet if we're going to get significant rain or if it'll be just to our south.

Models did a great job placing this rain today. 

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2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

High pressure hanging tough today for areas north of l-78. This almost looks like a winter confluence situation.Tough for the moisture to advance further north into all that dry air.


71321A3C-FA73-4F89-AE34-0E2F469BE8C7.thumb.png.3ae985b842d37503804685a7820911c1.png

855A38D8-8340-4461-A06C-77CBE73220C1.thumb.jpeg.3e0efc43ffeaec6ca8abc6a3c3374185.jpeg

It's actually sagging south the past few frames. Some places in Central or south jersey could pick up close to 6" by Wednesday 

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I get why the rain shield is not advancing. Our dew point here, which was at 54.5 mid-morning, dropped to 46.9. It fell about 3 degrees from 2 until 3 PM. Winds remain very gusty out of the east, but the highest recorded was only a little over 18 MPH. (update: DP just dropped further to 45.5.)

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