Prismshine Productions Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Forecasted to be short lived, the vigorous wave came off Africa spinning and may beat our Caribbean threat to Hermine Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 From the NHC discussion: "The initial wind speed is set to 30 kt, perhaps conservatively since the eastern side of the circulation has not been sampled by scatterometer or aircraft data." "The depression has about a day over warm water in light to moderate shear before all the models blast the system with strong upper- level southwesterly winds. Most of the guidance shows this system becoming a tropical storm before weakening significantly by late this weekend and dissipating early next week. The official wind speed prediction is near the NOAA corrected-consensus guidance HCCA." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 The basin is dead… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 We're still way below average for climatological ACE through yearly date, but boy is it closing fast. Should surpass it by the end of September. If October has a few hurricanes, we'll likely end up as what is considered an active season, but still well below seasonal forecasts. At any rate, we're staring down the barrel of two strong landfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Stole Hermine per 18Z BT, so now 9 is gonna get the "I," naturally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Why does it seem the former director of the NHC does not know about the best track files tipping off impending upgrades? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 I swear the naming of some of these storms is questionable at best anymore. I feel like I could go out off Folly with some dry ice and swim in circles to get a named storm these days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 I swear the naming of some of these storms is questionable at best anymore. I feel like I could go out off Folly with some dry ice and swim in circles to get a named storm these daysSome systems in recent years I'd agree with that sentiment, Hermine is not such a case based on the satellite images I saw around time of upgrade.Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 38 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I swear the naming of some of these storms is questionable at best anymore. I feel like I could go out off Folly with some dry ice and swim in circles to get a named storm these days I mean it had a closed circulation with consistent convection and gale force winds. Pretty sure that is what is called a tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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