weatherCCB Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Still moving NNE . Convection firing around center last few hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Any convection or cold cloud tops are getting absolutely shredded once reaching land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Euro actually sucked with second landfall track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Do hurricane models suffer any deficiency once a system transitions to a hybrid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 This thing is virtually a coastal storm. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyEC Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This thing is virtually a coastal storm. Large nor’easter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Still Reminds me a lot of the perfect storm. More Extra tropical, then more sub tropical then more tropical. It was in the “grey” in terms of classification the whole time—shades of everything at once. What’s cool about this, is it’s the closest example of the perfect storm since (in my opinion), except this time we get to see what would have happened if it made a close approach to land and ultimately landfall. Key difference will be that Ian had less time to churn up the Atlantic, so the wave factor won’t be *as* impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Maybe I’m wrong about this but the southeast coast doesn’t see a 980 mb coastal nor’easter though, even in peak baroclincity season… 980 or lower caliber doesn’t materialize until the mid Atlantic and northeast. Might make for greater than expected impacts… Pretty cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Maybe I’m wrong about this but the southeast coast doesn’t see a 980 mb coastal nor’easter though, even in peak baroclincity season… 980 or lower caliber doesn’t materialize until the mid Atlantic and northeast. Might make for greater than expected impacts… Pretty cool. Yes, but the southeast coast encounters high category hurricanes, whereas the mid Atlantic and northeast do not. I think they’ll handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 3-6” of rain forecasted here and winds to 55mph on ridge tops. Not too shabby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Also landfall looks to be closer to low tide which will mitigate surge some (which is the primary concern for the SE coast with this). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Lightning firing in the core which is the remnants of the NW eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: This thing is virtually a coastal storm. I agree. Big sprawling ocean storm bumping up against strong high pressure aiding in keeping the winds up. No real change as far as impacts no matter what we call it but nothing tropical about this in my opinion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 12 minutes ago, MANDA said: I agree. Big sprawling ocean storm bumping up against strong high pressure aiding in keeping the winds up. No real change as far as impacts no matter what we call it but nothing tropical about this in my opinion. That may be a distinction without a difference. I always find it funny when people try to compare them to say which one is "worse" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: Still Reminds me a lot of the perfect storm. More Extra tropical, then more sub tropical then more tropical. It was in the “grey” in terms of classification the whole time—shades of everything at once. What’s cool about this, is it’s the closest example of the perfect storm since (in my opinion), except this time we get to see what would have happened if it made a close approach to land and ultimately landfall. Key difference will be that Ian had less time to churn up the Atlantic, so the wave factor won’t be *as* impressive. That sounds really interesting! Do you mind going into more detail about the synoptic setup of both and how they compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, MANDA said: I agree. Big sprawling ocean storm bumping up against strong high pressure aiding in keeping the winds up. No real change as far as impacts no matter what we call it but nothing tropical about this in my opinion. There's some cold air in that high pressure too - there were some frost advisories up overnight and earlier this morning for those directly under it too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 It’s 53 degrees at my location. Definitely more like November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 55 here in Wake Forest with gusts in the 30s. It does feel more like a noreaster than a cane. Def more of a subtropical storm now as it gains lattitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Core is trying to tighten up again, looks like convection is attempting to wrap around. It’s interacting with a trough to the west and I agree it definitely looks more like a nor’easter but it’s trying to make something of a comeback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 6Z UKMET landfalls at Myrtle Beach at 5PM EDT. UKMET has been nothing short of stellar since the 0Z 9/25 run and better than any other model since then! Let's see if it can earn an exclamation mark for its performance here with a near Myrtle Beach landfall: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Hard to believe it takes 7 more hours to make landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 16 hours ago, mappy said: Not sure how high the camera is, 6-8 feet I’m sure. St James City, Captiva, Sanibel are all at or below 7’ elevation. Entire islands washed over. Oy. It’s well over 6-8’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The biggest takeaway is that modern building codes work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I was just about to mention this. Lots of planes in the air doing surveys per FlightRadar24. US Customs is also out over the Gulf, my guess is debris survey or stranded boaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, marsman said: I was just about to mention this. Lots of planes in the air doing surveys per FlightRadar24. US Customs is also out over the Gulf, my guess is debris survey or stranded boaters. Its a myriad of aircraft with remote sensing capabilities for debris management, damage assessment, and getting the waterways reopened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 18 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: The biggest takeaway is that modern building codes work. Structurally might look good, but you can't tell what it looks like from the air with a 10' wall of water moving through. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Parts of Sanibel look like Homestead after Andrew. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 If it was 3-4 weeks later we'd be talking snow in western Maryland/high spots of WVa... Temps out there in low 40s still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now