NavarreDon Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Yikes!!! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Yikes!!! . Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: People here are debating a forecasted track of Ian from last week which is well beyond 3 days. Here is an NHC forecast from 48-60 hours ago. If we are going to talk cone then there is not much to discuss. I thought the disco was on actual landfall and track of the core. No model that I noticed had Ian escaping Florida until a couple days ago which explains the track the NHC was putting forth. Messenger ticks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The president has been known to make gaffes (just stating a fact). Let's wait for actual numbers from officials. Pretty sure he also said "could be" not "is". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKTWISTER Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 15 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The president has been known to make gaffes (just stating a fact). Let's wait for actual numbers from officials. I agree as I do not think the fatality total will be anywhere near the high numbers on the list, I just wanted to point out the hyperbole being said without facts even being known. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, jbenedet said: This has all the hallmarks of a STC. The wind limits are not in surface pressure, but in radius. Broader impacts. And not to let guards down, but the perfect storm was ~980 mb. Ian looks like will be similar in intensity. Stronger surface HP than in this case, but close enough to mention. I know that name will take on alarmist connotations but it's a good reference bc so many know about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 This thread is really getting derailed into banter/politics... 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 political posts will be hidden. 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 From the Lee County Sheriff's Office... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: do you think this didn't contribute to ian's strengthening right before landfall? come on Rapid intensification has become the new normal in recent years with the steadily warming SSTs. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Any way to bifurcate post-FL Ian landfall analysis and updates and real-time obs/model discussion? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: From the Lee County Sheriff's Office... EVery now and then you see a home that is completely obliterated. Is this due to construction type? or did we happen to have small tornadoes spawning in the area on top of the wind and surge ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Getting the worst winds of the storm right now. 20g50 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 From the aerials I have seen of Fort Myers and Port Charlotte at least, roofs of well built homes are almost all intact. even the manufactured homes in Port Charlotte fared much better than in Charley (though there was some obviously structural damage to some). From a wind damage point of view so far, the more stringent building codes so far seem do be doing their job. Of course wind-based codes don't help too much when faced with storm surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like convection is, temporarily at least, trying to wrap fully around the circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 12z euro drops the pressure from 990 to 977 in the next 24 hours prior to landfall... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 36 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Yikes!!! . And to think some individuals in the SNE subforum want a Cat 3 or higher to hit SNE...As the old saying goes" Be careful what you wish for".. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Interesting article on how some Floridians could be waiting weeks, or longer, to get power back due to a combination of how much of the grid is destroyed vs salvageable as well as supply chain shortages of electrical equipment like transformers. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/09/29/ians-mass-blackouts-supply-chain-00059389 The article mentions the wait time for some electrical equipment is currently 2-3 years and this means electric utilities have to use their backup supplies or swap equipment with other providers. Of course that simply further depletes supplies putting more strain on the system before the next hurricane or wildfire or tornado strikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: And to think some individuals in the SNE subforum want a Cat 3 or higher to hit SNE...As the old saying goes" Be careful what you wish for".. The 1938 cane in today's times would be truly catostrophic-power grid down for months etc not to mention all the trees down 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Just now, Brian5671 said: The 1938 cane in today's times would be truly catostrophic-power grid down for months etc not to mention all the trees down it wasn't even tropical 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Looks like Euro brings it in directly into Charleston harbor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: The 1938 cane in today's times would be truly catostrophic-power grid down for months etc not to mention all the trees down A similar hurricane would be a life altering event. I never want to experience it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mryanwilkes Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said: it wasn't even tropical You keep saying this, but it's not correct. That storm was tropical. It became extratropical after moving inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The 1938 cane in today's times would be truly catostrophic-power grid down for months etc not to mention all the trees down Sandy more or less destroyed the power grid from Tom’s River up to Brooklyn/Queens and most areas had power back in about 7-10 days. Now a days you have massive mobilizations of crews from out of state, the power wouldn’t be out for more than a few weeks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Just now, NJwx85 said: Sandy more or less destroyed the power grid from Tom’s River up to Brooklyn/Queens and most areas had power back in about 7-10 days. Now a days you have massive mobilizations of crews from out of state, the power wouldn’t be out for more than a few weeks. Maybe but alot of CT/RI/MA is densely wooded... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Maybe but alot of CT/RI/MA is densely wooded... You’re going to have issues anywhere you see 90+ mph gusts for an extended period of time unless the power lines are moved underground. But New England isn’t a third world country. I remember seeing crews from Arkansas here after Sandy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 sandy was another one that wasn’t tropical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now