paweather Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Ive been freezing at nights these past few weeks. With the expected arctic blast, I fully expect Vail, PA to receive it's first flizzard. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Vail??? let’s do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 Thursday looks miserable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 7 hours ago, paweather said: Joy is coming: Not mine... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 39 but decidedly more humid this Am than last. Watching models really starting to show a Chamber weekend with sun and highs in the 70's one or both days. GFS backing off the cold push a bit until early next week but next week is still a fall like week temp wise. A bit worrisome IMO for sustained cold this month as the orientation of the trough has become much more transient (GFS disco) in the mid term allowing the cold to escape later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 39 but decidedly more humid this Am than last. Watching models really starting to show a Chamber weekend with sun and highs in the 70's one or both days. GFS backing off the cold push a bit until early next week but next week is still a fall like week temp wise. A bit worrisome IMO for sustained cold this month as the orientation of the trough has become much more transient (GFS disco) in the mid term allowing the cold to escape later in the month. Let the pattern relax for awhile later this month and then bring it back later in November or early December when it can bring us some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 35 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 51 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Let the pattern relax for awhile later this month and then bring it back later in November or early December when it can bring us some snow. Yea, it is still only mid October. My worrisome comment was pointed toward fall permanently setting in. As depicted the gfs shows temps into the 80's. Previously it was not showing the stronger warm push. But almost no one (paweather) wants snow now at risk that it turns against us in December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 Low of 40 this morning in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 38 degrees and foggy this morning. Is Thursday still looking like a soaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 42 minutes ago, pawatch said: 38 degrees and foggy this morning. Is Thursday still looking like a soaker? GFS and Nam are starting to show a dry slot working its way into the LSV (and MSV) while other progs are still very wet. The Nam actually has not be gung ho on Thur for several runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 0z 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 13 hours ago, canderson said: Thursday looks miserable. call me crazy but I like dreary autumn days when it rains and sends leaves in to clog up street drainage systems...... I dont like days n days of it though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: 35 this morning. I saw 40 for our bottom, which was 2 deg. warmer than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 39 but decidedly more humid this Am than last. Watching models really starting to show a Chamber weekend with sun and highs in the 70's one or both days. GFS backing off the cold push a bit until early next week but next week is still a fall like week temp wise. A bit worrisome IMO for sustained cold this month as the orientation of the trough has become much more transient (GFS disco) in the mid term allowing the cold to escape later in the month. Them words right there were the absolute theme of last winter. (and Nina's in general) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 26 minutes ago, pasnownut said: call me crazy but I like dreary autumn days when it rains and sends leaves in to clog up street drainage systems...... I dont like days n days of it though. Oh I do too! It was looking like heavier bands instead of drizzle which I greatly prefer but loos drier now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 early nooner 52 and sunny. good couple days before the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 35 minutes ago, paweather said: early nooner 52 and sunny. good couple days before the rain. 62 and sunny here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Them words right there were the absolute theme of last winter. (and Nina's in general) while that may be in winter, its early fall, and as the Nina is expected (and likely starting to rot away already - al la enso disco), I'd be cautious at just using general Nina climo and say x causes y (even though its influence is larger right now...its sounds like its likely to start fading fast. Enso is one in a myriad of factors to be considered when thinking longer term. If one loops back over the last several days of 500's on guidance, you'll note that its not really less defined, its just a different look to to the ridge/trough axis, which IMO is rather normal in seasons of transition as the fight of seasons is on, and that plays a large factor in forcing. Something for you to think about in the macro scale of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 2 hours ago, pasnownut said: I saw 40 for our bottom, which was 2 deg. warmer than yesterday. I have gone from being one of the warmest in the summer to one of the coolest in the fall. Duration of sun and sun angle here in the fall at my place is taking a toll on temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 62 and sunny here. 65 and sunny for almost true nooners. 70 is in the bag today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 High noon, 68 and sunny here about 1 mile west of Rocky Ridge park in York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 62 and sunny here. Yeah I got the temp from my computer not from my weather station, weather station has 68 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 Yet another day in the 70s is in the books! 70.2 under brilliant sunshine at 12:15pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yet another day in the 70s is in the books! 70.2 under brilliant sunshine at 12:15pm. You and CXY are cruising for some mid to upper 70 love today it seems. Have an 80 in you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 68 here at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 Red October temp 70 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Red October temp 70 and sunny Sean Connery day? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Sean Connery day? Hahaha!!! Not the movie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 40 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You and CXY are cruising for some mid to upper 70 love today it seems. Have an 80 in you? We'll see - I think mid 70s is most likely - I'm only up 1 degree over the past hour. Sitting at 71.3 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 11, 2022 Share Posted October 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Red October temp 70 and sunny Gonna have to do it without Robertson...got hurt jumping around celebrating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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