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7 hours ago, forkyfork said:

euro is pretty decent. looks like the north edge of a miller a

 

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

It brings it in very early too. Mostly a friday night into early saturday morning event on the NAM. The timing for this event has really been speeding up. 0z GGEM has a good rain early saturday morning too.

Nam has been miserable lately and you're talking about rainfall it generates 48-84 hours away. It completely missed on the thunderstorm activity 3 nights ago, and has been enthusiastic in terms of rainfall at times when we've gotten almost none. Let's wait with Nam and see what it looks like 12 hours in advance. It may look very different. I would go with a compromise between the ECMWF, GGEM, and GFS meaning that we'll still be on the northern flank of the precip but it could be ocasionally heavy in a few spots particularly as the GGEM has, way out east. I like the earlier/faster timing.

WX/PT

 

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Morning thoughts…

Today will be partly and somewhat cooler. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 67°

Newark: 69°

Philadelphia: 71°

The week will end with cool temperatures.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 71.0°; 15-Year: 72.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 72.6°; 15-Year: 74.1°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 73.9°; 15-Year: 75.1°

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The last 2 days of September are averaging  60degs.(55/66) or -4.

Month to date is  70.3[+0.7].        September should end at  70.0[+0.8].

Reached 70 here yesterday.

Today:    66-71, m. sunny-clouds late, wind n.  to ne. late.

1664863200-pJaK6tuWahw.png

56*(71%RH) here at 7am.     58* at 9am.       61* at Noon.      63* at 1pm.       Reached 68* at 4:30pm.       62* at 8pm.

 

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22 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

The last 2 days of September are averaging  60degs.(55/66) or -4.

Month to date is  70.3[+0.7].        September should end at  70.0[+0.8].

Reached 70 here yesterday.

Today:    66-71, m. sunny-clouds late, wind n.  to ne. late.

56*(71%RH) here at 7am.     58* at 9am.

 

Uh

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Hopefully for the south shore there’s a good soaking. It’ll be a nasty Saturday anyway with the increased winds/clouds so hopefully we can at least get the rain up here. 

Exactly, I have a bachelor party in MTK. If it’s going to be ruined let’s get a good soaking. It’s certainly on the table. But I could see a feb 5-6 10 situation as well


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