WxWatcher007 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Atlantic Canada still very much in it, though it’d likely be going extratropical by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 EPS has a few very interesting members actually more than before 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EPS has a few very interesting members actually more than before It’s gone. You’d need to see a massive shift in the steering pattern to make this a continental US threat. @Hazey and Nick should be watching though. The globals have a mean low up there next weekend. For now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: It’s gone. You’d need to see a massive shift in the steering pattern to make this a continental US threat. @Hazey and Nick should be watching though. The globals have a mean low up there next weekend. For now. the further west members are the ones that almost cut off after hitting the DR and mender off the south east coast.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 18z ICON but a pretty big shift west so far at hr78 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 It’s gone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Bermuda gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 The island of Puerto Rico has lost 100% of it's power a few hours ago. 3.2 million people. The power grid is fragile after Maria 5 years ago but it still is amazing that the entire island is out with only the south coast getting hurricane gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 already west of the 5pm cone DR might really weaken Fiona if it keeps heading west 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 2 hours ago, wxeyeNH said: The island of Puerto Rico has lost 100% of it's power a few hours ago. 3.2 million people. The power grid is fragile after Maria 5 years ago but it still is amazing that the entire island is out with only the south coast getting hurricane gusts. Flooding is going to be atrocious with that long fetch out of the south. Of course, Stein will still argue that the island is in serious drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 24 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: already west of the 5pm cone DR might really weaken Fiona if it keeps heading west Massive core disruption is the only way this keeps going west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 EPS have been consistent. GEFS too to an extent but being further east means it's close between a NF hit and barely wide right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 5 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 18z ICON but a pretty big shift west so far at hr78 I'm still tracking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Looks like it’s gonna get disrupted by shredirola to me. It’s just S of SE end of DR and has missed All forecast points to the SW the last couple hours. let’s see what 12z models do once they figure what looks to be a more impactful trip across DR out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Oh Canada on the Euro or Ouch Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Yeah, quite a hit for the Canucks on some of these runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 MDPC was near 70kts before they went out. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Fiona nice turn NW last two hours . Close to NE coast and structure looks excellent considering over land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Well that blows. Cape Breton destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Well that blows. Cape Breton destroyed. You gonna chase? Not many opportunities to see something that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 You gonna chase? Not many opportunities to see something that strong.Tempting but it would have to be stronger than Juan. I went through the worst of that so benchmark is high. The winds in the highlands of CB and the wreck house area of NFLD would be off the charts with that track. THAT would be something to witness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 23 hours ago, alex said: It seems like airlines are starting to take it more seriously. They added flights and are getting people out (us included) this afternoon. All Turks and Caicos Airports closed starting tomorrow Good thing. Looks like Fiona held together very well over the DR. Already trying to clear out her eye and looking good to be a major in the next day or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 50 minutes ago, Hazey said: Well that blows. Cape Breton destroyed. Euro pretty close as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 53 minutes ago, Hazey said: Well that blows. Cape Breton destroyed. 36 minutes ago, Hazey said: Tempting but it would have to be stronger than Juan. I went through the worst of that so benchmark is high. The winds in the highlands of CB and the wreck house area of NFLD would be off the charts with that track. THAT would be something to witness. It's a legit threat up there. Not sure how much further west it can adjust but 5 days out a lot can happen. Thinking the GFS is probably too far east and the Euro is a little too outrageous, but a significant one may be on the table for eastern NS and NF. Interesting that the stronger members are further west on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 42 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Good thing. Looks like Fiona held together very well over the DR. Already trying to clear out her eye and looking good to be a major in the next day or so. Yeah it's weird watching it unfold from here and to think we were there just 24 hours ago! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, alex said: Yeah it's weird watching it unfold from here and to think we were there just 24 hours ago! Good luck down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 EPS have been backing west the last three runs. We'll see if that continues over the next few days as Fiona intensifies. It looks like the strongest members are furthest west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Violence in the Gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 19, 2022 Share Posted September 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Violence in the Gulf? Of Mexico? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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