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8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

18z euro 1-2 area wide now Friday into Saturday 

Believe areas will get the goods between late Fri / Sunday.  Great setup. Florida style setup.

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Made it to 94* here in CI.

71*(99%RH) here at 7am.       80*(77%RH) at Noon.      83* at 1pm.       84* at 3:30pm.       88* at 5pm.      90*(60%RH) at 5:30pm.       Reached 94*(42%RH) near 7pm.       87* at 9pm.

GFS now says just a short break.        Use the T's for possibilities at Newark, more than NYC.

 

1659463200-uxRWr41cyNE.png

Here is the source of those 100 possibilities:       EKE!

gfs_z500_mslp_nhem_65.png

 

 

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9 hours ago, Allsnow said:

18z euro 1-2 area wide now Friday into Saturday 

That would be a life saver. I was forced to do a huge landscape installation on campus in an are without irrigation this week. Despite working at an institution with some of the smartest people in the world. 

We should see offshore water temps going for records this month based on the predicted pattern. That will have a feed back to support more convection 

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Morning thoughts…

It will be mostly sunny and very warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 95°

Philadelphia: 94°

Very warm to occasionally hot weather will continue into the weekend.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.6°; 15-Year: 85.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.1°; 15-Year: 87.2°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.1°; 15-Year: 87.8°

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The next 8 days are averaging  85degs.(76/94) or +8.

Reached 94 here late yesterday.

Today: 87-92, wind n. to s., m. sunny, 76 tomorrow AM.

75*(72%RH) here at 7am.        78* at 9am.       no change> 78* at Noon.      82* at 1pm.      Reached 84* at 3pm.        80* at 8pm.

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11 hours ago, SACRUS said:

NYC pulled it out and still running 3 - 5 below surrounding sites on the hotter/hottest days.  

Since the excessive tree growth over the last decade, NYC has had many years with the peak summer highs from -5 to -7 lower than the warmest spots. The average was only around -2 for NYC from 1977 to 1986 before the tree growth put the thermometer in the deep shade. 
 

Year…….Area max…..NYC max

2022….102….95….-7

2021…..103….98….-5

2020….98……96…..-2

2019….101……95….-6

2018….101……96…..-5

2017….101…….94…..-7

2016…100…….96…..-4

2015…100……..97…..-3

2014….98………92….-6

2013….102……..98….-5

 

Before the trees covered the thermometer

1986….100…….98……-2

1985….97……….95…..-2

1984….98……….96…..-2

1983….100………99…..-1

1982….100………98…..-2

1981…..98………..96…..-2

1980….104……..102…..-2

1979…..98………95…….-3

1978….99………..95…….-4

1977…..104………104……NYC tied for warmest 

 

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81 / 63 after a low of 68.  On way to some drier more comfortable lower 90s today before the strong blast of heat come through Thu (8/4).  850 around or >20C tomorrow and Fri(8/5).  Believe storms and clouds come in later Friday after mid/upper 90s and perhaps a century mark in the warmer / drier spots. 

Then is Miami style pattern later Friday and Sat (8/6).  Pop up storms warm /humid where it stays sunny it will approach or exceed 90 / low 90s with high heat index otherwise plenty of clouds and storms as we are sought of caught between the rim of the eastward extent of the Rockies/ Plains Ridge and the western rim of the expanding Western Atlantic Bermuda High.  Storms could ease up on Sunday (8/7) but would expect some soakers then Mon (8/8)  more heat and humidity before front comes through Tue (8/9). 

Beyond that overall warm pattern with rising heights building in by later next week Fri (8/12) from the Rockies / Plains ridge.  

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