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33 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Always forget to bookmark that site, but id be curiou s of 80 degree days and where we stand at the major locations and stations.

Numerous locations are in the top 5 for 80° days through 8-26.


https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 Jan 1 to Aug 26
Missing Count
1 2022-08-26 71 1
2 2010-08-26 69 0
3 2012-08-26 66 1
4 2020-08-26 65 2
- 2018-08-26 65 0
- 1976-08-26 65 1
5 2011-08-26 64 0
6 2021-08-26 63 0
- 2019-08-26 63 0


 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 Jan 1 to Aug 26
Missing Count
1 2016-08-26 75 0
2 2015-08-26 74 3
- 2010-08-26 74 0
3 1991-08-26 70 4
4 2022-08-26 69 3
5 2018-08-26 68 0
- 2007-08-26 68 0
- 1966-08-26 68 0


 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 Jan 1 to Aug 26
Missing Count
1 2010-08-26 73 0
2 1991-08-26 72 0
3 2022-08-26 70 0
4 2011-08-26 66 0
5 2018-08-26 65 0
- 2016-08-26 65 0
- 1998-08-26 65 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 Jan 1 to Aug 26
Missing Count
1 1994-08-26 95 0
2 1991-08-26 94 0
3 2010-08-26 93 0
- 1993-08-26 93 0
4 2021-08-26 90 0
- 2015-08-26 90 0
5 2022-08-26 89 0
- 2011-08-26 89 0


 

Time Series Summary for FREEHOLD-MARLBORO, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 Jan 1 to Aug 26
Missing Count
1 1944-08-26 90 3
2 2022-08-26 89 13
- 2010-08-26 89 3
- 1939-08-26 89 1
3 2016-08-26 88 2
4 2021-08-26 87 0
- 2015-08-26 87 2
5 1957-08-26 86 0
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5 hours ago, bluewave said:

Newark still the driest summer on record with a few days to go. As we follow the driest conditions along the South Shore JFK is 2nd driest. ISP comes in at 4th driest.


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 2022 4.43 6
2 1966 4.46 0
3 1949 5.68 0
4 1957 5.69 0
5 1965 5.83 0


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1966 3.89 0
2 2022 5.14 5
3 1999 5.56 0
4 1965 5.68 0
5 1993 5.71 0


 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1966 3.67 0
2 2005 3.74 0
3 1988 4.52 0
4 2022 4.75 5
5 1993 4.91 0

I’m surprised Islip has that much, I have 3.46” since June 1st from my pws. Only 0.92” since July 1

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22 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

I’m surprised Islip has that much, I have 3.46” since June 1st from my pws. Only 0.92” since July 1

The July and August numbers are even lower. Only 1.00”-2.00” of rain over one of the warmest July into August periods dried the vegetation out very fast. These totals are in the range of what is considered a wet July- August for Las Vegas.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 2022-08-31 2.03 5
2 1932-08-31 3.42 0
3 1980-08-31 3.70 0
4 1966-08-31 3.97 0
5 2015-08-31 4.09 0


 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 2022-08-31 1.94 5
2 2005-08-31 2.35 0
3 1972-08-31 2.45 0
4 1966-08-31 2.91 0
5 2015-08-31 3.22 0


 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 2022-08-31 1.00 6
2 2013-08-31 2.62 2
3 2010-08-31 2.93 0
4 2015-08-31 3.58 1
5 1999-08-31 4.00 33


 

Time Series Summary for BRIDGEHAMPTON, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 2022-08-31 1.65 7
2 2005-08-31 2.01 1
3 1995-08-31 2.37 0
4 1966-08-31 2.61 0
5 1936-08-31 2.66 0


 

20th wettest July and August in Las Vegas

 

Time Series Summary for Las Vegas Area, NV (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 1984-08-31 3.47 0
2 1955-08-31 3.29 0
3 1957-08-31 3.00 0
4 1979-08-31 2.90 0
5 1941-08-31 2.68 0
6 2012-08-31 2.45 0
7 1999-08-31 2.43 0
8 1970-08-31 2.37 0
9 1945-08-31 2.08 0
10 1976-08-31 1.95 0
11 2003-08-31 1.91 0
12 1954-08-31 1.89 0
13 1942-08-31 1.77 0
14 1956-08-31 1.64 0
15 1950-08-31 1.63 0
16 1977-08-31 1.38 0
17 1961-08-31 1.33 0
18 1991-08-31 1.32 0
19 1983-08-31 1.31 0
20 2022-08-31 1.29 5

 

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Central Park has touched 90 for the 24th time this season. Today getting there was not even expected. They should get to 90+ for a 25th time Tuesday though there is an outside chance for Monday (just as there was an outside chance for today). Now I'm expecting the Park to get there 26-30 times for the season before all is said and done.

WX/PT

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The 90s hits just keep on coming!   High of 92 degrees today was the 16th 90 degree plus day this August which extends the record for this month.  Records began in 1973.      Now 33 days of 90 degree plus for the season

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9 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

91 at ewr ties the august record for 90s

3 more days of 90s possible too and then some close calls first 10 days of September. 

Many sites will hit their all time annual 90s days.

The drought conditions really helped break us to the upside on what would've been a lot of upper 80s days. 

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2 minutes ago, wxallannj said:

The 90s hits just keep on coming!   High of 92 degrees today was the 16th 90 degree plus day this August which extends the record for this month.  Records began in 1973.      Now 33 days of 90 degree plus for the season

Had winds go onshore here for awhile again to stop me short of 90°. You're ahead of me for Aug. 90's but equal on the seasonal number. I think we've mentioned this before but interesting how we both started our records in 1973...I do consider 1977 though as my "official" beginning, for some reason that I don't remember lol.

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2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

3 more days of 90s possible too and then some close calls first 10 days of September. 

Many sites will hit their all time annual 90s days.

The drought conditions really helped break us to the upside on what would've been a lot of upper 80s days. 

i wouldn't normally look at this and think it would be one of our hottest augusts on record

Image

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This is the first consecutive 80° months at EWR and only the second time for LGA.
 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jul
Aug
Season
2011 82.7 76.9 79.8
2022 82.6 80.5 81.6
1993 82.5 79.2 80.9
2010 82.3 77.7 80.0
1994 81.9 75.7 78.8
2013 80.9 74.7 77.8
2020 80.8 77.7 79.3
2012 80.8 77.6 79.2
1999 80.8 76.2 78.5
2019 80.6 76.2 78.4
1955 80.5 77.7 79.1
1988 80.4 79.7 80.1
2002 80.0 77.9 79.0


 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jul
Aug
Season
2020 82.9 79.7 81.3
2010 82.8 78.6 80.7
1999 81.9 76.4 79.2
2019 81.5 77.6 79.6
2013 81.2 75.8 78.5
2022 81.1 80.9 81.0
2016 81.1 81.6 81.4
1955 80.9 78.7 79.8
1966 80.8 77.7 79.3
2006 80.7 78.1 79.4
1994 80.6 75.3 77.9
2012 80.4 78.7 79.6
2011 80.4 76.0 78.2
1952 80.4 75.3 77.9
2008 80.0 75.0 77.5
1993 80.0 77.4 78.7
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Today saw temperatures again reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in much of the region. High temperatures included:

Allentown: 87°
Baltimore: 90°
Bridgeport: 86°
Islip: 90°
New York City: 90°
Newark: 91°
Philadelphia: 93°
Washington, DC: 91°

Newark is on track to record its second warmest summer on record. Philadelphia will see either its second or third warmest summer on record.

Tomorrow will be somewhat cooler than today was. However, the remainder of August will likely see generally above normal temperatures. Additional 90° or above days are possible in parts of the region. Above normal temperatures will likely continue through at least much of the first week of September.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast.

In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September.

On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.2°C for the week centered around August 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.83°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall.

The SOI was +6.68 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.305 today.

On August 25 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.773 (RMM). The August 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.644 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.3° (3.2° above normal).

 

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This has been the warmest August on record at EWR, HPN, ISP, POU, PHL, and BDL. Notice how many top 10s there have been in recent years. So it gives us an idea how fast our climate is warming up around the region. 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 80.6 4
2 2005 80.4 0
3 2021 80.0 0
4 2016 79.9 0
5 1988 79.7 0
6 1973 79.6 0
7 2018 79.2 0
- 1993 79.2 0
8 2001 79.0 0
9 2015 78.7 0
10 1995 78.5 0
- 1980 78.5 0


 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 76.8 5
2 2016 76.1 0
3 2018 75.8 0
4 1983 75.6 0
5 2005 75.0 0
6 1970 74.9 5
- 1959 74.9 0
- 1955 74.9 1
7 2015 74.5 0
- 2001 74.5 0
8 2021 74.4 1
9 1995 74.2 7
10 1980 74.0 0

 

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 77.8 4
2 1980 77.4 0
3 2016 77.3 0
4 2005 77.0 0
5 2018 76.7 0
6 2021 75.9 0
7 2015 75.7 0
- 1998 75.7 0
8 2001 75.6 0
9 2020 75.3 0
10 1988 75.0 0


 

Time Series Summary for Poughkeepsie Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 76.7 4
2 2005 75.5 0
3 1939 75.4 1
4 2016 75.2 0
5 1973 75.1 0
6 2018 74.9 0
7 1947 74.8 0
8 2021 74.7 0
- 1938 74.7 0
9 2001 74.3 0
- 1955 74.3 0
10 2020 74.1 0


 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 81.1 4
2 2016 81.0 0
3 1980 79.9 0
4 2001 79.8 0
- 1995 79.8 0
5 2005 79.6 0
6 2002 79.5 0
7 2021 79.2 0
8 1978 79.1 0
9 2018 79.0 0
- 2015 79.0 0
- 2010 79.0 0
10 1991 78.9 0


 

Time Series Summary for Hartford Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 76.8 4
2 1973 76.4 0
3 2018 75.9 0
- 2016 75.9 0
4 1939 75.3 0
5 2001 75.2 0
6 2005 75.1 0
7 2021 74.8 0
8 2020 74.6 0
- 1937 74.6 0
9 1988 74.5 0
10 2003 74.3 0
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The last 4 days of August are averaging  81degs.(73/89) or +7.5.

Month to date is  79.4[+3.0].       August should end at  79.7[+3.6].

Reached 87 here yesterday.

No rain till end of period and multiple 90's.

1661666400-h4pV65wcgcU.png

Today:  80-85, wind e. to s., cloudy early, breaks late, 73 tomorrow AM.

75*(82%RH) here at 7am.      80* at 10:30am.       82* at 1pm.    Back to  80* at 2pm.       83*(70%RH) at 5pm.      Reached 84* at 6pm.

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Morning thoughts…

Clouds will give way to partly sunny conditions.  High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 82°

Newark: 85°

Philadelphia: 89°

Generally warmer than normal conditions will persist through at least much of the first week of September.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 81.7°; 15-Year: 81.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 82.9°; 15-Year: 82.9°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.1°; 15-Year: 83.8°

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We should probably start using 10 year averages not 30 given how fast our climate is warming. 

Our new averages can't keep up with the warning trends and this is only with 1-1.5C global warming.

Imagine how things will be like when it's 2.5-3C warming by 2040-2050. 

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