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1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

Up to 94 in Muttontown, pool is 89 lol.  DP of 60 and wind it’s not bad heat. 

The Euro and most other models busted once again for how hot LI would get on the southerly flow today. 95 here. Not the 100 in NJ but plenty hot here. 

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Driving around southern Monmouth northern Ocean it looks like the southern California hills minus elevation change. 

I don't remember lawns and trees looking this dry in many many years.  

Some short term models already show the storms missing central NJ tomorrow or splitting/falling apart as usual.  

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5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

:wub:

Dude that was 3 weeks ago.

 

Stop harassing me. Plain and simple

Not to mention I have had numerous posts where I responded to you deleted by you or one of your friends.

So get off the soap box and stop harassing another user.

 

And get an Air Conditioner dude. It is 84 degrees in your house. 

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1 minute ago, the_other_guy said:

Dude that was 3 weeks ago.

 

Stop harassing me. Plain and simple

Not to mention I have had numerous posts where I responded to you deleted by you or one of your friends.

So get off the soap box and stop harassing another user

aww the heat must be getting to you. have some ice water <3

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15 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The Euro and most other models busted once again for how hot LI would get on the southerly flow today. 95 here. Not the 100 in NJ but plenty hot here. 

It’s easier for the higher resolution models like the HRRR to correctly resolve our local temperatures on Long Island. The HRRR had 95°+ for the usual North Shore warm spots. 

50EE2B1C-F3AF-410E-9A05-C4BD27B976BD.thumb.png.88470dfed1e651fa73dfa2d89fe8b1a2.png

 

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21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The Euro and most other models busted once again for how hot LI would get on the southerly flow today. 95 here. Not the 100 in NJ but plenty hot here. 

94.9 is the high so far in Muttontown. 94.3 in Syosset so far as well. 

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2 hours ago, Rjay said:

It's hot.  But thank god @binbissohelped keep those dews away today or it would feel miserable.  This heatwave, while historic in parts of NJ, doesn't feel all that bad compared to what it could feel like.  

 Hey RJay,  Definitely historic for Newark to hit 100 on 5 consecutive days.  I was out in your neck of the woods today at Jones beach beautiful day 84 on the car thermometer in parking lot once I got to the northern state car thermometer read 98 most of the way home.  Water was cold my feet were numb after 5 minutes.  Water temps probably in the 60's.  Was hoping to see some sharks but that never materialized.

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Under abundant sunshine, along with only some wispy high clouds, temperature records were approached, tied, or broken in many parts of the Northeast. High temperatures included:

Albany: 97° (old record: 96°, 1941)
Allentown: 95° (tied record set in 1999 and tied in 2016)
Atlantic City: 99°
Baltimore: 97°
Boston: 100° (old record: 98°, 1933)
Bridgeport: 94°
Burlington: 91°
Concord: 96°
Halifax: 87° (old record: 85°, 1975)
Harrisburg: 96° (tied record set in 1965 and tied in 1999 and 2001)
Hartford: 96° (tied record set in 1987)
Islip: 92°
Manchester, NH: 98° (old record: 95°, 2001
New York City-JFK: 96°
New York City-LGA: 98° (tied record set in 1999 and tied in 2010)
New York City-NYC: 95°
Newark: 102° (old record: 99°, 2010)
Philadelphia: 99° (old record: 98°, 2011)
Poughkeepsie: 96°
Providence: 98° (old record: 94°, 1933 and 1987)
Scranton: 97° (old record: 95°, 1933 and 2016)
St. John's, NL: 87° (old record: 84°, 1952)
Washington, DC: 94°
Wilmington, DE: 95°

With Newark recording a record 5 consecutive 100° high temperatures, it has had a mean high temperature of 92.2° over the past 30 days. The last time that occurred was during June 19-July 18, 2012 when the average temperature was also 92.2°.

Tomorrow will be slightly cooler, but temperatures will still reach the lower 90s across much of the region. Afterward, temperatures will become several degrees cooler through midweek.

During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal. The latest guidance all indicates that July will wind up solidly among the warmer than normal cases.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal.

In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 50% of the following July cases were warmer than normal. 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around July 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.60°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer.

The SOI was +2.15.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.144 today.

On July 22 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.504 (RMM). The July 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.148 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 98% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 80.0° (2.5° above normal).

 

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4 hours ago, Allsnow said:

New Brunswick (Rutgers weather station) has yet to hit 100 this week 

Newark is warmer than New Brunswick in the summer and sometimes colder in the winter like in January. 

January 2022

NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 28.6
Newark Area ThreadEx 28.6
TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 28.7
HARRISON COOP 28.7
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 29.0
INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 29.1
LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 29.2
New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 29.3
NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 29.3
MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 29.6
CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN

29.7

 

Monthly Data for January 2022 for New Jersey
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature <= 32 
HIGHLAND LAKES 1SW COOP 20
CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 16
SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 16
SUSSEX AIRPORT WBAN 16
WERTSVILLE 4 NE COOP 14
BOONTON 1 SE COOP 14
AEROFLEX-ANDOVER AIRPORT WBAN 14
FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 13
TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 12
Trenton Area ThreadEx 12
LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 11
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 11
CANOE BROOK COOP 11
BELVIDERE BRIDGE COOP 11
Newark Area ThreadEx 11
Belvidere Area ThreadEx 11
SEABROOK FARMS COOP 10
TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 10
HARRISON COOP 10
PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 10
NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 9
PHILLIPSBURG-EASTON BRIDGE COOP 9
PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 9
New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 9
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