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7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

North central Suffolk has been slammed the past few days. 2” Saturday and have to be another 2” today. 

Lots of minor road flooding between N Smithtown and St James.   Unless another pulses up, we should be in a break.

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Was just outside chasing deer away from our flower garden.  All the rain this morning washed away the deer spray.  I'm not sure how much rain we had (the Vernon station shows 1.75", 15 or so miles to my northeast), but it's gross out there, and looks like we're in for another round with the movement of the developing storms in eastern PA.

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Sigh as I can't get a storm over my area to water anything over the past few days. The little bit that fell Saturday night was barely enough to dampen the ground.

Will have to give a good watering with the sprinklers later on unless something pops and crosses the area. My luck I finish both front and back and one storm makes it. So be it......

 

 

 

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23 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Heat index readings SNJ just nasty.  Air mass is juiced that is for sure.  DP's mid to some upper 70's. About the upper end of what we see around here.

1PM HEAT INDEX.jpg

Its disgusting out there. My weather station said 93 degrees and feels like 103...yuck

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Impressive amount of SBCAPE building south of the warm front. This coupled with 30-40kts of shear should be sufficient for severe weather. The cells currently moving across NNJ have already shown some weak rotation.

sbcp.gif?1658166392935

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26 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i love going to the mesowest site and getting obs from 20 minutes ago rounded from celsius 

It's a neat site, but I never understood that rounding issue and why they do that.  Every 1C = 1.8F, so it's not very precise at all.

If they did 0.1C readings, it would be much better IMO.

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3 minutes ago, tek1972 said:

No sun in central Suffolk so I'm guessing the strong storms don't make it here?

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

 

Not so much due to instability issues as it is the front sort of washes/slows/semi stalls as the surface low outruns it over NRN New England so even Queens/W Nassau may not see much...might see a nasty looking line in NJ and it just will crap out as it goes east.  

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch area wide excluding Eastern Long Island till 10PM.

WW0473 WOU

PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES       :  05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS          :  20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              : <05%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          : <05%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  80%
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