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July 2022


bluewave
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Probably won't see any good rain here until mid-August at best. Globals are dry for my location for the foreseeable future. Summer 2010 had a localized drought on the south shore, by August leaves we're turning yellow on stressed trees. That will definitely happen soon if it isn't happening already. Late July - mid October 2019 was the last significant dry period here. That caused the fall colors to come earlier despite it being relatively warm.

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Several of our stations are near the top of the list for July heat and lack of rainfall.

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1999 79.7 0
- 1955 79.7 0
3 2022 79.2 3
4 2013 79.1 0
5 2020 79.0 0


 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1910 0.31 0
2 1944 0.68 0
3 2022 0.77 3
4 1968 0.85 0
5 1999 0.99 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 82.7 2
- 2011 82.7 0
2 1993 82.5 0
3 2010 82.3 0
4 1994 81.9 0
5 2013 80.9 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 2022 0.55 2
2 1932 0.84 0
3 1966 0.89 0
4 1999 1.01 0
5 1955 1.14 0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1999 78.5 1
2 2013 77.0 0
- 2010 77.0 0
3 2022 76.9 2
- 2020 76.9 0
4 2019 76.8 0
5 1966 76.7 0
- 1955 76.7 2


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1954 0.46 0
2 1970 0.54 0
3 1966 0.69 0
4 2002 0.71 0
5 1998 0.97 0
6 1999 1.03 0
7 2022 1.10 2
8 1974 1.29 0
9 1957 1.41 0
10 2012 1.54 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 80.6 0
2 2010 79.7 0
3 2022 78.4 3
4 2013 78.1 0
5 2011 78.0 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 2022 0.49 3
2 2013 1.15 2
- 2002 1.15 0
3 2011 1.35 0
4 2012 1.49 0
5 2015 1.76 1



 

Time Series Summary for WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1998 0.23 18
2 1968 0.28 0
3 2022 0.31 6
4 1966 0.34 0
5 2018 0.68 15

 

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The last 2 days of July are averaging  82degs.(73/91)or +4.

Month to date is  79.6[+2.1].       July should end at 79.8[+2.3].

Reached 85 here yesterday.

Today:  86-91, wind nw., m. sunny, 72 by tomorrow AM.

75*(77%RH) here at 7am.       81* (40%RH)at Noon.      83* at 1pm.       86*(34%RH) at 3pm.        87* at 4pm.        88*(33%RH) at 5pm.        Reached 91*(29%RH) near 6pm+       82* at 9pm.

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The tree growth issue at the Central Park ASOS has caused the temperatures during the last heatwave run cooler than the warmest urban sites by 5-8°. The main problem here is that the major media outlets focus very heavily on that Central Park temperature for their forecasts. Most forecasts for NYC were highs in the  mid 90s which reflects the error at the ASOS. Each day from 7-20 to 7-24 there were multiple 100° or warmer temperatures. Most forecasts didn’t mention 100° potential on their broadcasts. Instead, there were several twitter posts saying how the 100° readings were not reliable. This is doing a giant disservice to the public experiencing the 100° heat. The list below is all the 100° highs each day and the Central Park differential. The NYC micronet data is from the ground level sites to match the other networks. 
 

7-20

Newark…100°

Somerset…100°

Hillsborough-Duke…100°

Brownsville…100°

Corona….100°

NYC…..95°……..-5

 

7-21

Newark..l00°

Freehold-Marlboro…100°

Hillsborough-Duke…100°

NYC….92°……-8

 

7-22

Newark…100°

Harrison…100°

Somerset…100°

Brownsville…100°

Corona….100°

NYC…94°…..-6


7-23

Newark….101°

Harrison…101°

Somerset…100°

Freehold-Marlboro…100°

Hillsborough-Duke…101°

Brownsville…101°

Corona…100°

Ozone Park….100°

NYC….95°….-6

 

7-24

Newark 102°

Harrison…102°

Somerset…101°

Freehold-Marlboro…101°

Hillsborough-Duke….102°

Corona…101°

Fresh Kills…100°

NYC….95°….-7

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I guess the motto here becomes---if you do not have AC where you live---just snuggle up close to the ASOS at Belvedere Castle!    

That's Where It's at Man!

Seriously speaking, I have the same problem on my balcony.      While the sun's rays never reach the themometer---a weak PM breeze---allows heat to accumulate there.    Still, I have not made it to 100 this year---just 99 briefly, which I reported as a 96---since it was the most predominate T that PM.      In 2019, I believe it was---99 that was predominate.{yep, same timeline of July 20,21 which together have about 9 of the 59  100-Degree Days in NYC station history}

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26 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

just snuggle up close to the ASOS at Belvedere Castle!    

Too bad their isn’t more room at that spot since it would save many a long trip out to Long Island which has the same temperatures. ;)

F8E0B0E2-94CA-43B6-AC3F-BD956C8DC197.thumb.jpeg.5c5d503da6d1e087fa3470a1398c1d2c.jpeg

 

July 20th

NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 95
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 95
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 95
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 95


July 21st

NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 93
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 92
NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 92
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 92
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 91
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 91


July 22nd

NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 94
NY SYOSSET COOP 94
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 93
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 93
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 93
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 93
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 92
CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 92
NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 92

 

July 23rd

 

NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 96
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 95
NY SHRUB OAK COOP 94
NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 94


July 24

NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 95
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 95
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 95
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 95
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 95
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Made it down to 69,  Now up to 80 / 57 and gorgeous summer and beach weather.  The warmer / drier spots have a shot at 90 today and tomorrow, otherwise sunny and just spectacular these next two days to close the month.  Monday still looks to be the next chance for rain / storms as warm front begins moving through and setting the stage for the next roasting.

 

By Tue (8/2) the Western Atlantic ridge is building way west and eventulally joins the Rockies/Plains Ridge by the middle of the Week Wed (8/3) and Thu (8/4) with a blast of strong heat coming in by next Fri (8/5) and through next weekend as it looks now, with the euro bringning in >20c 850 temps at times. The ridge contracts and resurges into the week of Mon (8/8) with overall a hot pattern to at times strong heat.  Still some details to be worked out that could foster storms around the rim of the ridge and Ridge could build over and force onshore or NE flow at times to keep it just warm to hot on days.  But overall dog days of summer and some of the hottest Aug temps sustained since 2015 or more.

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17 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It will be interesting to see if there is an attribution study. If so, these events may be covered in the same study, even as they occurred days apart.

We can add Utqiagvik to the list of spots with extreme rainfall this month.

 

 

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Beautiful day out there though some locations may hit 90. The possible heatwave would start Tuesday or Wednesday. It will be interesting to see which school of thought prevails in reality with regards to the evolution into, duration, and extent of the heat. The European model is certainly the hottest case scenario at the moment. I question the NWS forecast of upper 80s on Monday with the warm front approaching the area. More than likely there will be clouds at the very least with the possibility of a few showers and I would doubt temperatures get much above 80 if they even get that high.

WX/PT

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Some trees here in SW Suffolk are starting to lose their leaves due to the drought stress. Things will dry out further today on a warm downslope flow. It’s soundings like this that show why it so hard to get rain here.

 

95C4D046-BF43-458A-A886-0927C1452B6C.thumb.png.10c832131c19f14fe88065d11e891d8f.png

 

 

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30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Some trees here in SW Suffolk are starting to lose their leaves due to the drought stress. Things will dry out further today on a warm downslope flow. It’s soundings like this that show why it so hard to get rain here.

 

95C4D046-BF43-458A-A886-0927C1452B6C.thumb.png.10c832131c19f14fe88065d11e891d8f.png

 

 

Monthly rain total at my station at Cherry Grove is 0.36”.  Two events during the past few days have accounted for 0.03”.  The remainder fell on or before 7/5/22.

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2 hours ago, Tatamy said:

Monthly rain total at my station at Cherry Grove is 0.36”.  Two events during the past few days have accounted for 0.03”.  The remainder fell on or before 7/5/22.

This is one of the driest Julys on record along the South Shore with many spots under .50.

Monthly Data for July 2022 for NY COASTAL Climate Division
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
BLUE POINT 0.4 E CoCoRaHS 0.15
COPIAGUE 0.4 ENE CoCoRaHS 0.21
SAYVILLE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.22
SETAUKET-EAST SETAUKET 0.7 SSW CoCoRaHS 0.25
AMITYVILLE 0.1 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.26
WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 0.31
SAYVILLE 0.2 SE CoCoRaHS 0.31
REMSENBURG-SPEONK 0.9 NE CoCoRaHS 0.32
PATCHOGUE 0.9 SE CoCoRaHS 0.32
WANTAGH 0.3 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.37
BRIGHTWATERS 0.5 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.43
AMITYVILLE 0.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.44
MASSAPEQUA PARK 1.2 N CoCoRaHS 0.44
     
BAY SHORE 0.5 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.48
FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 0.49
BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 0.53

 

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Up to a very comfortable 90 / 54 here , breeze and just golden out.  Less than an inch here for the month for rainfall and that looks to stick through sunday night.  Is there a fall flooding on the horizon - id bet yes.

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15 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Up to a very comfortable 90 / 54 here , breeze and just golden out.  Less than an inch here for the month for rainfall and that looks to stick through sunday night.  Is there a fall flooding on the horizon - id bet yes.

Only the 3rd time that Newark reached 30 days of 90° highs by July 30th. So 40 days looks like a given. Could make a run on 50 days.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Jan 1 to Jul 30
Missing Count
1 2010-07-30 37 0
2 1993-07-30 33 0
3 2022-07-30 30  
4 1987-07-30 29 0
5 1994-07-30 28 0
6 2021-07-30 27 0
- 1991-07-30 27

 

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