Jebman Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 East Coast will be utterly annihilated by snow in 2022-2023. Emphasis on the DC Metropolitan Region. You got this coming, you been askin' for it, and you are gonna get it! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 I love the Mid Atlantic so much, and am pulling so unbelievably hard for record breakin snows in your region this winter ---- That I would be happily willing to undergo 90 degrees accompanied by 75 dewpoints from September 2022, thru to April 2023, so that the Mid Atlantic can be stuck in a record trough with unbelievably cold weather and snow after snow after snow after snow after snow for months on end, in the Washington Metropolitan Region, THIS winter, 2022 into 2023. That, is how much I will always love you all over there, and I will always be hoping wishing and praying hard, that you will get so much snow there, that you will indeed be tired of snow, only to get blasted by more snow! You will live in the models, live by the models, and live for the models as you enjoy snow after ridiculous snow this winter, in the Washington Metropolitan Region! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 10 hours ago, Jebman said: I love the Mid Atlantic so much, and am pulling so unbelievably hard for record breakin snows in your region this winter ---- That I would be happily willing to undergo 90 degrees accompanied by 75 dewpoints from September 2022, thru to April 2023, so that the Mid Atlantic can be stuck in a record trough with unbelievably cold weather and snow after snow after snow after snow after snow for months on end, in the Washington Metropolitan Region, THIS winter, 2022 into 2023. That, is how much I will always love you all over there, and I will always be hoping wishing and praying hard, that you will get so much snow there, that you will indeed be tired of snow, only to get blasted by more snow! You will live in the models, live by the models, and live for the models as you enjoy snow after ridiculous snow this winter, in the Washington Metropolitan Region! Cocaine is a helluva drug. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 It’s over. It’s always over this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 +PNA August's since 2000, evens out over Alaska in the Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s over. It’s always over this time of year. Let me ask ya something...are you expecting a good winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 46 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Let me ask ya something...are you expecting a good winter? Always. I prefer to think that way. Nobody can accurately predict snow. They may get close on the overall pattern, but not snow. Too many variables 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 2 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said: +PNA August's since 2000, evens out over Alaska in the Winter. Snow snowmageddon is back on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 You guys will be glad to know that the Weatherbell prelim Nov-Mar forecast has the entire East Coast between normal and +1 for temperatures with an emphasis on a colder December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 1 hour ago, roardog said: You guys will be glad to know that the Weatherbell prelim Nov-Mar forecast has the entire East Coast between normal and +1 for temperatures with an emphasis on a colder December. yeah that sounds about right 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 6 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Always. I prefer to think that way. Nobody can accurately predict snow. They may get close on the overall pattern, but not snow. Too many variables Yeah but isn't that like...a little against logic? I mean when almost every index is against ya...you're still gonna choose to believe it'll be good? (I'm curious to know what you were thinking going into 2019-20, lol) Or are you just like an eternal optimist in general? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 26 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but isn't that like...a little against logic? I mean when almost every index is against ya...you're still gonna choose to believe it'll be good? (I'm curious to know what you were thinking going into 2019-20, lol) Or are you just like an eternal optimist in general? It can snow when the overall indices aren’t in our favor, not to mention that it’s still August. Let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 35 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: It can snow when the overall indices aren’t in our favor, not to mention that it’s still August. Let it play out. I mean don't ya gotta have at least one? (Or for ninas maybe two or three, lol). Nina, high solar, no -AO/-NAO in sight...I mean it may not be 2019-20 bad (I hope), but what else is there? Maybe I'm a bit jaded from "letting it play out" last year and the year before...and having it turn out typical nina, lol The result last year in particular was like beyond predictable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 11 hours ago, IronTy said: Cocaine is a helluva drug. It sure is, never could get enough, I look terrible these days. lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Coke or not though, I will always LOVE the Washington DC Metro Region, and I will always be pulling for massive crippling snows for y'all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 On 8/13/2022 at 6:19 PM, WxUSAF said: I doubt it as HT-HH emitted very little SO2 into the stratosphere. True, I’m more interested in what all this record water vapor does in the stratosphere. It just worked its way into the northern hemisphere: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but isn't that like...a little against logic? I mean when almost every index is against ya...you're still gonna choose to believe it'll be good? (I'm curious to know what you were thinking going into 2019-20, lol) Or are you just like an eternal optimist in general? I don't know how many times I watched the winter forecast be great for winter weather and we got nothing. Seasonal forecast aren't any better then the farmers almanac. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: I mean don't ya gotta have at least one? (Or for ninas maybe two or three, lol). Nina, high solar, no -AO/-NAO in sight...I mean it may not be 2019-20 bad (I hope), but what else is there? Maybe I'm a bit jaded from "letting it play out" last year and the year before...and having it turn out typical nina, lol The result last year in particular was like beyond predictable! What other choice is there other than letting it play out? The MA lowlands generally suck at snow regardless of ENSO state. There are many paths to failure. Our 'good' winters occur when most of the indices are favorably aligned, and we get plenty of luck with small scale features and timing. It's always a struggle, and likely more so now and going forward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 13 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: yeah that sounds about right At this point I don’t think anyone is expecting a big winter given the current setup nor should they be. You also don’t have 1997 or 2015 with a raging super El Niño inbound where you know the upcoming winter is a total lost cause before it even starts…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 2 hours ago, CAPE said: What other choice is there other than letting it play out? The MA lowlands generally suck at snow regardless of ENSO state. There are many paths to failure. Our 'good' winters occur when most of the indices are favorably aligned, and we get plenty of luck with small scale features and timing. It's always a struggle, and likely more so now and going forward. I don't know why anyone engages with these posts. It's always the same response, no matter the reasoning or logic behind the posts being made. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 5 hours ago, CAPE said: What other choice is there other than letting it play out? The MA lowlands generally suck at snow regardless of ENSO state. There are many paths to failure. Our 'good' winters occur when most of the indices are favorably aligned, and we get plenty of luck with small scale features and timing. It's always a struggle, and likely more so now and going forward. you guys just need a moderate to strong central-based +ENSO to really cash in. there's actually a big correlation between that ENSO state and well above average snows for you guys due to the combination of a strong STJ and N Atlantic blocking andddd that ENSO state looks quite likely during 2023-24, if not 2024-25. just gotta be patient, it's coming 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 30 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: you guys just need a moderate to strong central-based +ENSO to really cash in. there's actually a big correlation between that ENSO state and well above average snows for you guys due to the combination of a strong STJ and N Atlantic blocking andddd that ENSO state looks quite likely during 2023-24, if not 2024-25. just gotta be patient, it's coming Yeah that is the good winter scenario for here that I was speaking of. Most people understand that. We also can do ok with various other ENSO states, but it's more of a crapshoot. A persistent -AO/-NAO has the highest correlation to cold/ above avg snow here, and HL blocking concurrent with a C. Pac based Nino gives us the best odds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 7 hours ago, CAPE said: What other choice is there other than letting it play out? The MA lowlands generally suck at snow regardless of ENSO state. There are many paths to failure. Our 'good' winters occur when most of the indices are favorably aligned, and we get plenty of luck with small scale features and timing. It's always a struggle, and likely more so now and going forward. Yeah there's another choice...ignore it entirely and track ENSO status for 2023-24, lolol 5 hours ago, mattie g said: I don't know why anyone engages with these posts. It's always the same response, no matter the reasoning or logic behind the posts being made. You tell me why is it so bad to say when things aren’t close to being aligned...that the winter isn't worth tracking? I'll say that and people will act like it's illogical. It's one thing if it was a couple years ago and it looked like we'd have the AO/NAO on our side...at least there was a chance. Now it didn't work out that great, but it was worth looking at where we might have a chance. So now here we are this year, another nina, and no indices in our favor to help...why is it bad/illogical to just write it off, ignore it and track enso for next winter? Other than being optimistic just to be optimistic...in that case we can do that any year no matter what, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: you guys just need a moderate to strong central-based +ENSO to really cash in. there's actually a big correlation between that ENSO state and well above average snows for you guys due to the combination of a strong STJ and N Atlantic blocking andddd that ENSO state looks quite likely during 2023-24, if not 2024-25. just gotta be patient, it's coming Yep. If we can get that or close...that at least will be a winter worth tracking. That's a historically more favorable setup. No 100% guarantees...but it's much better to track when ya got more in your favor. I do hope it happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 I sure wish it was silent in here 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I sure wish it was silent in here Ain't nobody told you to come in here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 @40/70 Benchmark This is just lending even more support to your idea that the NAO/AO are going to be hostile this winter….solar activity increasing…solar flares, geomag storms….. https://www.foxweather.com/earth-space/geomagnetic-storm-watch-us.amp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 33 minutes ago, snowman19 said: @40/70 Benchmark This is just lending even more support to your idea that the NAO/AO are going to be hostile this winter….solar activity increasing…solar flares, geomag storms….. https://www.foxweather.com/earth-space/geomagnetic-storm-watch-us.amp Carrington event any day now, society will shut down causing global cooling and massive blizzards in 23-24. Storms everywhere. And rumors of storms. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 On 8/15/2022 at 9:07 PM, Maestrobjwa said: are you just like an eternal optimist in general? Yes. Think about all of the adjectives associated with people who are the opposite of that and ask yourself if that’s really the person you want to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 ALEET! Weatherbell has their prelim winter forecast out and is predicting below normal temps and above normal snow for eastern US. This is a departure from their usual winter forecast when they predict below normal temps and above normal snow every year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now