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91L, (aka PTC1 and Alex) tropical season starting on time in June


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Rain since midnight now at 8.21 inches. Total for storm is 10.35 inches. 

Pressure now down to 1,001.32 mb.

Highest rain and lowest pressure I've seen here since I moved the week after Irma hit (September 2017).

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In central Brevard:

Storm total rainfall: 1.04"

Max gust: 15.9 MPH

Average windspeed: 1.9 MPH @ 102º

Pressure: 1003.8 and falling

 

The only record this has set for me is annual low barometer. Might end up setting smallest daily temp range for the year, too. But my records only start in August of '21, so records aren't too difficult to break, yet.

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Love the storm and rain reports! Nice start to the season!

@captcatz:

Quote

Rain since midnight now at 8.21 inches. Total for storm is 10.35 inches. 

Over 8 inches of rain in a day is significant. May be the record of the season even for south Florida with an occasional Hurricane to come by. Tropical Storm Debbie years ago dumped 16 inches of rain in Gulfport over a couple days which I think is the record since I have been here.

I woke up to light rain for a few hours this morning up here in Gulfport, FL with the Tropical breeze. Wind has actually picked up this afternoon and rain is done.

Nice to be back in the season. ;)

 

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This recon mission is actually pretty interesting. As the NHC notes in their 11am discussion, while the FL winds are quite impressive for a storm with this kind of organization, the winds have not translated down as efficiently.

This would be making a run as a hurricane if they did. We'll see if that happens before the intensification window closes tonight. 

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From underperforming in the Gulf, to overperforming in the Atlantic. 
 

Tropical Storm Alex Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012022
1100 PM AST Sun Jun 05 2022

The satellite presentation of Alex has evolved from a more classic 
sheared tropical cyclone this morning to that of an extratropical 
transitioning cyclone.  There are still some fragments of convection 
near the center, but most of the shower and thunderstorm activity is 
well removed from the center in a band around the eastern portion of 
the circulation. This change in structure is due to an approaching  
mid- to upper-level trough and associated dry air that has become 
entrained into the circulation. Air Force reconnaissance aircraft 
observations and data from NOAA buoy 41048 indicate that Alex is 
slightly stronger.  Reports from a center drop from the aircraft 
showed that the pressure had fallen to around 984 mb, and the buoy 
reported a peak one-minute wind of 52 kt at 4 meters.  Based on 
these data the initial intensity has been set at 60 kt.  However, 
the cyclone may already be beginning to fill as the latest 
reconnaissance aircraft pass through the center reported that the 
pressure had risen 4 mb. 

Alex will be moving over cooler waters and into a higher shear 
environment during the next 12-24 hours, therefore weakening should 
commence very soon.  Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and 
ECMWF suggest the system will struggle to redevelop deep convection 
near the center and the system is now forecast to become 
post-tropical by 24 hours, if not sooner.  The global model guidance 
now also indicates that the post-tropical cyclone will be absorbed 
along a frontal boundary as a new baroclinic low develops from a 
strong mid-latitude trough moving southeastward from Atlantic Canada 
in a day or two.  As a result, the new NHC forecast calls for 
absorption within the new low within 48 hours.

Alex is moving 060/24 kt. The cyclone should remain on a general
east-northeastward motion during the next day or so, with the
center passing north of Bermuda on Monday.  The new forecast is
again faster than the previous advisory and lies near a blend of
the GFS and ECMWF models.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Alex is forecast to pass near or just north of Bermuda on Monday,
and tropical storm conditions are expected on the island late
tonight and Monday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/0300Z 32.5N  69.0W   60 KT  70 MPH
 12H  06/1200Z 33.7N  65.3W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  07/0000Z 35.3N  60.2W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  07/1200Z 37.4N  54.3W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  08/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

$$
Forecaster Brown

 

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14 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Also, as @WxWatcher007 requested, it would be good @Ed, snow and hurricane fan (or a staff member) to add Alex to the thread title for the benefit of those who look back at this thread down the road. Thanks in advance.

I would if I knew how to do it.  Should have PTC1 and Alex in the thread title.

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9 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

I would if I knew how to do it.  Should have PTC1 and Alex in the thread title.

Ed,

 A thread starter can go to the first post and then choose the edit option (by clicking on the "..." on the upper right side). Once in edit, the title can be changed. Also, tags can be added or changed.

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5 hours ago, GaWx said:

 Also, as @WxWatcher007 requested, it would be good @Ed, snow and hurricane fan (or a staff member) to add Alex to the thread title for the benefit of those who look back at this thread down the road. Thanks in advance.

This tweet brings up an excellent point. It was certainly impactful in the rainfall department, but in the Gulf it never quite got organized enough to get classified as a named entity. 

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Well I'm back, was offline for 3 days due to Shabbos and the festival of Shavuot.

This event was absolutely incredible. One of the strongest and longest rain events I've seen in my life. It just kept raining and raining and the water table rose to literally multiple feet higher than I've ever seen it before.

It's too bad I couldn't take pics, but our little drainage stream become a full blown river, and streams/rivers were forming all over the place. All the lakes went out of their banks too, and maybe with another foot of rain everything would've went underwater. Parking garages started filling with water too.

45532515_ScreenShot2022-06-06at11_36_32PM.thumb.png.df981c9e9ca12d44103ef3129d055ec0.png

According to rain gauges we at least got a foot of rain, and there's a 16 inch bullseye not far from here. We were in the perfect spot to get trained on.

All this being said, the water quickly went down on Sunday, and I assume the water management district let the flood waters out into the ocean, that's the only way the water table could drop by multiple feet so quick.

I really wonder what happened in low lying areas that typically flood. Probably thousands of houses flooded, but I don't think such data is recorded that well.

Finally, here's the epic radar loop of the event: Alex_3-4Jun22_KAMX.gif

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