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May 2022


bluewave
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1 hour ago, psv88 said:

This weather absolutely stinks. Not a 70 degree day in sight and it’s May. Horrible 

I think 60s are nice, but I agree that we'd like to see some 70s soon. It's long range, but we are seeing some signs that warmer 70s will be coming in during the week of May 9th. At that point we're heading into mid May, so you would think it's likely.

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  • Rjay pinned this topic

April ended at 52.8[-0.9] in Central Park,  but at 51.0[+0.1] at JFK.         YTD is -0.13.

The first 8 days of May are averaging  56degs. (50/61) or -4.

Check back in 31 days.      Here is the "I Get Around"  CFSv2:       If the first 10 days are really going to be BN---we are in for a shock, say by the 19th......

1651363200-g9jSoOUWTKA.png

Reached 67 here yesterday with 23%RH.

Today:   63-67, wind variable, p. cloudy, drizzle  2AM-6AM tonight, 52 by tomorrow AM.

The water vapor transport seems to stay mostly south of us next week.

51*(60%RH) here at 7am.       56* at 9am.        55* at Noon.       60* at 3pm.

 

 

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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly sunny into the afternoon before clouds increase. Some showers are likely overnight. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 67°

Newark: 69°

Philadelphia: 70°

Cooler air will return tomorrow.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 67.6°; 15-Year: 68.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 68.4°; 15-Year: 69.0°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 70.3°; 15-Year: 70.8°

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Looks like a good day for yard work. Mow, weedwack, edge,and use a tiller to rip up the small area dead spot and replant grass seed. 

 Going to be a struggle, played in FD vs PD hockey game yesterday.  A puck to the ribs still does not feel to well:mellow:

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The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. 
 

Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting
 

0FB0B96B-EC22-41EC-9A99-DAB1DABA40F5.thumb.png.168d4121d7a502f5cce128496b195ed6.png

EE23DDDB-9ACC-4D60-B9D2-A6D6302527DC.thumb.png.90e5d30bbe8db503367c15d9ba9c854e.png


Cooler start to May than in recent years

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7
Missing Count
2021-05-07 86 0
2020-05-07 80 0
2019-05-07 78 0
2018-05-07 94 0
2017-05-07 76 0
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6 hours ago, bluewave said:

The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. 
 

Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting
 

0FB0B96B-EC22-41EC-9A99-DAB1DABA40F5.thumb.png.168d4121d7a502f5cce128496b195ed6.png

EE23DDDB-9ACC-4D60-B9D2-A6D6302527DC.thumb.png.90e5d30bbe8db503367c15d9ba9c854e.png


Cooler start to May than in recent years

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7
Missing Count
2021-05-07 86 0
2020-05-07 80 0
2019-05-07 78 0
2018-05-07 94 0
2017-05-07 76 0

How does this compare to May 2020 when we had snow around the 9th-10th?

 

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2 minutes ago, uncle W said:

what about August 1980?...

the good old days-- have you noticed we dont get that anymore?  80s and especially 90s were our hottest decade

 

now its all about high mins which isn't really "hot" it's stuffy and humid

I'm not sure this stat is kept anywhere but I feel like the number of extreme heat waves (heat waves with 5 or more days in a row of 90+ has actually gotten less).  We already know the 90s had the highest number of 90 degree days.

 

 

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7 hours ago, bluewave said:

The omega blocking will keep the onshore flow pattern going into early May. So it looks like the warmest days will top out in the low 70s. The models are all over the place on how much actual rainfall occurs. Multiple waves of low pressure undercut the block. Each model has different solutions. This will be a cooler start to May than in recent years that reached the upper 80s to low 90s at times. 
 

Continuing high pressure to the north with lows undercutting
 

0FB0B96B-EC22-41EC-9A99-DAB1DABA40F5.thumb.png.168d4121d7a502f5cce128496b195ed6.png

EE23DDDB-9ACC-4D60-B9D2-A6D6302527DC.thumb.png.90e5d30bbe8db503367c15d9ba9c854e.png


Cooler start to May than in recent years

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Highest Max Temperature May 1 to May 7
Missing Count
2021-05-07 86 0
2020-05-07 80 0
2019-05-07 78 0
2018-05-07 94 0
2017-05-07 76 0

Yeah but in general the rest of May has been lousy, and I've had to restart seedlings several years now because once anything in the nightshade family gets exposed to a cold shot, they don't really recover. We used to say plant after Mother's Day, last year I was starting new seedlings in June, because the Fall is warmer than in the past and adult plants can take a little cool weather. So I've been planting a little later. That said, we need some rain. Raised beds are dry, in ground garden spot is as dry as clay. We call NJ the garden state, but really aside from a few Cole family and lettuce crops, most of what we grow needs hot weather. 

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