dendrite Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 18z GFS looking better for Thu. We pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 16 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I'm expecting a marginal risk for Thursday when the D3 outlook comes out tonight Marginal risk!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Shorts and flip flops all day. Enjoy the sea breeze it's the only sea breeze you got. I'm gassing up the blower I guess. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Marginal risk!! Thread soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Thread soon? yeah sometime later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah sometime later today Anxiously waiting........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anxiously waiting........ Good things come to people who wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Good things come to people who wait Like decaying shwrs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Today is ass. Toss the tulip prancing forecasts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Like decaying shwrs? Some may consider that a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Thursday looks frustrating. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Meanwhile in North Dakota 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Today is ass. Toss the tulip prancing forecasts. Morning satellite certainly offering less confidence ... yikes. There is a back edge, one of those no cloud to full sun immediately types, pressing east through upstate NY ... Lucky cow-poke townships and farm land bust out, while we bust machine guidance. Boo ya 150 mi W of the Capital District. It appears to be moving around 50 mph... I'm not sure that times very far E of the Berkshires until afternoon, not without acceleration or dissolving/hole punching along the way. MEX had 70 for KFIT/KASH/KBED and that ain't happening in June with 0 sun. It'll be interesting to see how this evolves. By the way, did you see the classic BD on Thursday? One of two things happens here: One, the NAM is just wrong ... in which case the front holds up precariously, but holds up nonetheless ... roughly RUT-PWM or thereabouts. Two, the NAM in more right ... in which case, it is actually underdone. If the front gets that bullied in, it is unlikely to hold up with that full bladder of cold lobe ( 21 Z position Chris just posted ). It'll keep obtruding rudely SW clear to NYC ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Morning satellite certainly offering less confidence ... yikes. There is a back edge, one of those no cloud to full sun immediately types, pressing east through upstate NY ... Lucky cow-poke townships and farm land bust out, while we bust machine guidance. Boo ya 150 mi W of the Capital District. It appears to be moving around 50 mph... I'm not sure that times very far E of the Berkshires until afternoon, not without acceleration or dissolving/hole punching along the way. MEX had 70 for KFIT/KASH/KBED and that ain't happening in June with 0 sun. It'll be interesting to see how this evolves. By the way, did you see the classic BD on Thursday? One of two things happens here: One, the NAM is just wrong ... in which case the front holds up precariously, but holds up nonetheless ... roughly RUT-PWM or thereabouts. Two, the NAM in more right ... in which case, it is actually underdone. If the front gets that bullied in, it is unlikely to hold up with that full bladder of cold lobe ( 21 Z position Chris just posted ). It'll keep obtruding rudely SW clear to NYC ... It’s possible we have it decent after like 2pm or so. Maybe after 12p Berks. But meh. I fully expect the NAM to be right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Today is ass. Toss the tulip prancing forecasts. Enjoy the sea breeze it's the only sea breeze you got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Marginal risk!! Of flying spiders? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Pouring here, forecast says 68⁰ with sunny skies after 11 am....we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Enjoy the sea breeze it's the only sea breeze you got There is no seabreeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 46° and light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Man... the more I look at this .. this week is really not that great. There were valid synoptic interpretations to see it as better, but now that we're on top of it ...each day is getting butt banged for a different reason. Today, the this cloud lag and light rain... Tomorrow could be WAA cloud packed... Thursday - you know...that may not even be a backdoor now that I look at this. It really appears the warm front never comes back through on Wednesday to begin with. It gets to maybe Hartford, then stalls... Then, pressure rises around PSM some imperceptible amt and that's the ball game. It's not a BD if your already in bondage - Friday may end up the best day - we'll see. But the ,main front limps through overnight Thursday, and cleans out the Gulf of Maine colon blow ... but no aggressive backside CAA. Moisture elevations appears to want that afternoon to be sunnier ... could be 70 aoa 4pm ish. Then next week, winter begins in accordance with the models' inability to factor seasonal forcing... Welcome to month of Anus 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said: Meanwhile in North Dakota That would be one to chase but alas…SPC tossed out a MD saying blizzard conditions are already occurring out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Man... the more I look at this .. this week is really not that great. There were valid synoptic interpretations to see it as better, but now that we're on top of it ...each day is getting butt banged for a different reason. Today, the this cloud lag and light rain... Tomorrow could be WAA cloud packed... Thursday - you know...that may not even be a backdoor now that I look at this. It really appears the warm front never comes back through on Wednesday to begin with. It gets to maybe Hartford, then stalls... Then, pressure rises around PSM some imperceptible amt and that's the ball game. It's not a BD if your already in bondage - Friday may end up the best day - we'll see. But the ,main front limps through overnight Thursday, and cleans out the Gulf of Maine colon blow ... but no aggressive backside CAA. Moisture elevations appears to want that afternoon to be sunnier ... could be 70 aoa 4pm ish. Then next week, winter begins in accordance with the models' inability to factor seasonal forcing... Welcome to month of Anus Good morning Tip. Well done, though a bit scatological in content and delivery. Now back to listening as Nettie Fowler sings June Is Bustin’ Out All Over. As always …. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 2 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: Meanwhile in North Dakota Wheeee, April blizzard, just what everyone wants. I've never been to N Dakota and I don't think I've ever even met anyone from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 26 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Wheeee, April blizzard, just what everyone wants. I've never been to N Dakota and I don't think I've ever even met anyone from there. I looked at the 10 day forecast and yikes. 20s or 30s for highs every single day with lows in the teens. No thanks. Also the sun is coming out here now, some blue sky as well. So I’m thinking we salvage the second half of the day quite nicely at least in western areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 1 hour ago, rclab said: Good morning Tip. Well done, though a bit scatological in content and delivery. Now back to listening Nettie Fowler sing June Is Bustin’ Out All Over. As always …. The scatology is directed at God 'Anus' is his/her month - we didn't afflict ourselves which his/her being an asshole. as for today ... mm, among the fastest I've seen clearing aspect move across the land. 4 hours ago it was over Rochester NY? It's just passed Springfield Mass ... At this rate, it will clear the east coast by 1pm ... I thought it 50 mph by index finger rule, but that had to be closer to 75. That's pretty quick. So fairness to objectivity, today may earn a B grade over the F of this morning... heh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 19 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: I looked at the 10 day forecast and yikes. 20s or 30s for highs every single day with lows in the teens. No thanks. Also the sun is coming out here now, some blue sky as well. So I’m thinking we salvage the second half of the day quite nicely at least in western areas. Up to 57⁰, skies have cleared out nicely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 It's pretty fantastic how fast this thing unlidded its way east ... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Beautiful afternoon. Pushing 60° already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 Can see clearing line, bring to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can see clearing line, bring to me. It’ll get to about a quarter mile from my house then I’ll see a cloud in the shape of a middle finger as it retreats 10 miles back to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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