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Pittsburgh/Western PA Spring 2022 Discussion Thread


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3 hours ago, TimB said:

Yeah, doesn’t look too impressive as far as warmth, and daily rain chances will put a damper on even the warm days. I think we could get to 70 on Wednesday and/or Thursday depending on frontal timing but our first 80 seems like a massive long shot.

This past week underperformed due to clouds and rain. I expected several days well into the 60s and we never got any higher than 58. It seems this pattern is hard to shake.

Hopefully, by May we see a turn around.

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10 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Euro holding out hope for one more snow storm, especially north.

sn10_acc.us_ne.png

That would be historic, if highly unlikely. Pittsburgh has never recorded a 4” snowstorm beyond 4/10.

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57 minutes ago, TimB said:

Warmest day of the year so far incoming? Or do we continue our April theme of underperforming again?

Could go either way.  We get more sun, maybe make a run toward 80.  70s should be pretty much guaranteed though.

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5 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

82 today, pretty much summer average highs.  Two degrees from the record today.

These early 80 degree days are fantastic, before the humidity cranks up. I’d take a whole summer of days like today but sadly that’s not our climate. 

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33 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

Guys, we hit our all time record high yesterday, 124!

Capture.PNG

Actually was at 1:05 this morning. 5-min obs make me wonder if even the 82 yesterday was accurate. There were only 2 obs that made it to 80 yesterday and both were sandwiched by missing or 3 degrees cooler temps. I know there’s a F->C->F conversion that goes on here, but it’s still a weird progression.95447B82-AC36-47D3-9DED-5CB2EABC331F.jpeg.6a401a0afa857f5f92ec71e5ba320ef2.jpegA378F900-2190-48B0-A602-D2002C0FCF2E.jpeg.daaaef45475e4c6c7ec455d80c9ccbd6.jpeg66E241BC-99FC-4E51-8993-6FFFEAAA992A.jpeg.596fe3f9c39bf4edaa2f2aa1138bcb99.jpeg

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1 hour ago, TimB said:

Actually was at 1:05 this morning. 5-min obs make me wonder if even the 82 yesterday was accurate. There were only 2 obs that made it to 80 yesterday and both were sandwiched by missing or 3 degrees cooler temps. I know there’s a F->C->F conversion that goes on here, but it’s still a weird progression.95447B82-AC36-47D3-9DED-5CB2EABC331F.jpeg.6a401a0afa857f5f92ec71e5ba320ef2.jpegA378F900-2190-48B0-A602-D2002C0FCF2E.jpeg.daaaef45475e4c6c7ec455d80c9ccbd6.jpeg66E241BC-99FC-4E51-8993-6FFFEAAA992A.jpeg.596fe3f9c39bf4edaa2f2aa1138bcb99.jpeg

Then today was a historic day.  Mark it down.

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All models seem to be on board for some possible accumulating snowfall next week. Euro, UKMet, and Canadian all have 3-5 inches on 10:1, but the Kuchera ratios are lower with an inch, maybe two in spots. GFS less, but maybe still a coating to a half inch.

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I was looking at old photos, and we had an inch or two of wet snow last year on April 21. Also had snow showers and a slight dusting on some elevated surfaces in 2020 on May 9th. Looks like a good chance of some late season accumulating snowfall next week.

 

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5 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I was looking at old photos, and we had an inch or two of wet snow last year on April 21. Also had snow showers and a slight dusting on some elevated surfaces in 2020 on May 9th. Looks like a good chance of some late season accumulating snowfall next week.

 

The 4/21/21 event was impressive. I believe it was a top 5 snow event for so late in the season.

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16 hours ago, TimB said:

Seems the models that do give us Monday snow have it falling heavy for a few hours with great rates, but it’s all during the day and far too warm to stick.

It’s going to be interesting for the northern suburbs, and especially into Butler/Beaver/Armstrong. 
 

Don’t think anyone actually gets the 3-6” NAM/GFS/Euro are saying, but wouldn’t be surprised to see some heavy falling snow, with grassy areas white. 

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On 4/20/2022 at 12:15 PM, PghPirates27 said:

Could we hit 85 Sunday? Looks like 80 should be pretty much a done deal at this point, no?

Those 10th/90th percentile high temp graphics the NWS puts out on social media seem to indicate a lot of uncertainty, but with a hedge toward the warm side. For Pittsburgh, Saturday is 72-85 with a forecast of 81, Sunday is 75-87 with a forecast of 83.

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