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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly


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GFS does this ever year ... circa mid March until early May even...

It scrubs the initialization's radiative forcing out in time ... ( think that's what it's doing)... Whatever it does, it ends up back in January by the time it gets to D10 and beyond.   It's s both a separate phenomenon/ .. model short-coming that's annoying ( and I'm beginning to wonder if I am the only person on the planet that's noticed this in springs), but also is different than the cold pattern between now and roughly April 7 we've been tracking.   The latter should be exiting by the end of the first week of April.

It goes wildly against it's own extended GEFs telecon numbers which neutralize the NAO hinting even positive,  with -PNA by mid April.   Pretty much opposite that look. 

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Don’t worry about your car dude. There were lives at stake there. Instead of filming, run up the side of highway safely and warn incoming traffic as best as possible. 

Yeah...But he had, "stuff in his car".  Then when he said he had to get way from the road, he went a few steps away from the road, then right back towards the shoulder, and his banged up car.

 

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2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Yeah...But he had, "stuff in his car".  Then when he said he had to get way from the road, he went a few steps away from the road, then right back towards the shoulder, and his banged up car.

 

Yea, that was idiotic. And that guy who got out of his car and then the truck ripped into it, wow… lucky. Never get out and just stand there, run to safe place immediately. 

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6 minutes ago, radarman said:

Looks like BDL's low max may well be crushed by 4 degrees... and the wind is just ridiculous

Records also likely falling at ORH, BDR, PVD, and NYC

Midnight highs may just barely prevent records at BOS, MHT, and CON

 

Excellent...might as well set some records if it's going to be like this.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Excellent...might as well set some records if it's going to be like this.

BDL and ORH got it

BOS and PVD tied

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
0419 PM EDT MON MAR 28 2022

...RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HARTFORD CT...

A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 31 DEGREES WAS SET AT HARTFORD CT
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 34 DEGREES SET IN 1966.
...RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT WORCESTER MA...

A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 27 DEGREES WAS SET AT WORCESTER MA
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 28 DEGREES SET IN 1966.

...RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT BOSTON MA...

A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 33 DEGREES WAS SET AT BOSTON MA
TODAY. THIS TIES THE CURRENT RECORD OF 33 DEGREES SET IN 1893.
...RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT PROVIDENCE RI...

A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 34 DEGREES WAS TIED AT PROVIDENCE
RI TODAY. THIS TIES THE CURRENT RECORD OF 34 SET IN 1926.
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2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, that was idiotic. And that guy who got out of his car and then the truck ripped into it, wow… lucky. Never get out and just stand there, run to safe place immediately. 

That dude who hit the sign at first and then stood outside his car almost got bundled into the next life.

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