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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly


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Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

Best to have low expectations and be pleasantly surprised than to be bitterly disappointed...

I always expect average which is close to 50” here…if we make that I’m happy. We made that last year. Not this year though…at 35” for the season here. So significantly below average this year. 

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57 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s a blatant lie…but who really gives a crap.  Most of us get your gig. 

 

And Most winters in SNE will feature a very mild to warm day or two during the 3 months of the season. That doesn’t mean winter is over every time. But go ahead and use phrases such as “deep winter” to hide the BS. 
 

 

Sum 1182 585 - - 929 0 4.48 7.9 -
Average 42.2 20.9 31.6 2.0 - - - - 1.1
Normal 38.5 20.7 29.6 - 991 0 3.13 14.8 -
2022-02-01 34 4 19.0 -8.0 46 0 0.00 0.0 6
2022-02-02 44 29 36.5 9.4 28 0 0.00 0.0 5
2022-02-03 46 37 41.5 14.3 23 0 0.83 0.0 3
2022-02-04 40 27 33.5 6.1 31 0 1.04 T 0
2022-02-05 27 14 20.5 -7.0 44 0 T T 0
2022-02-06 29 11 20.0 -7.7 45 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-07 35 17 26.0 -1.9 39 0 0.21 1.0 0
2022-02-08 45 31 38.0 9.9 27 0 0.13 0.0 0
2022-02-09 45 23 34.0 5.8 31 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-10 52 26 39.0 10.6 26 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-11 56 27 41.5 12.9 23 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-12 59 33 46.0 17.1 19 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-13 33 22 27.5 -1.6 37 0 0.05 1.9 2
2022-02-14 22 12 17.0 -12.3 48 0 0.00 0.0 1
2022-02-15 31 10 20.5 -9.0 44 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-16 43 12 27.5 -2.3 37 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-17 62 37 49.5 19.5 15 0 0.18 0.0 0
2022-02-18 59 19 39.0 8.8 26 0 0.32 0.0 0
2022-02-19 37 16 26.5 -4.0 38 0 0.01 0.3 0
2022-02-20 34 14 24.0 -6.8 41 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-21 55 28 41.5 10.5 23 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-22 57 26 41.5 10.2 23 0 0.97 0.0 0
2022-02-23 71 28 49.5 18.0 15 0 T 0.0 0
2022-02-24 29 25 27.0 -4.8 38 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-25 30 19 24.5 -7.6 40 0 0.74 4.7 2
2022-02-26 34 9 21.5 -10.8 43 0 0.00 0.0 4
2022-02-27 43 13 28.0 -4.6 37 0 T T 4
2022-02-28 30 16 23.0 -9.9 42 0 T T 4
Observations for each day cover the 24 hours ending
at the time given below (Local Standard Time).
Max Temperature : midnight
Min Temperature : midnight
Precipitation : midnight
Snowfall : midnight
Snow Depth : 7am

 

 

look around the 10th of February, there was a clear shift to a more Spring-like or at best late-winter feel.  Many mild days, "two or three days in three months" is a wild underestimation and basically lying

 
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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I always expect average which is close to 50” here…if we make that I’m happy. We made that last year. Not this year though…at 35” for the season here. So significantly below average this year. 

Snow(for me) is  one of the " ingredients that makes for a good winter but it has to be combined with at least average temps and snowpack. 

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2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:
Sum 1182 585 - - 929 0 4.48 7.9 -
Average 42.2 20.9 31.6 2.0 - - - - 1.1
Normal 38.5 20.7 29.6 - 991 0 3.13 14.8 -
2022-02-01 34 4 19.0 -8.0 46 0 0.00 0.0 6
2022-02-02 44 29 36.5 9.4 28 0 0.00 0.0 5
2022-02-03 46 37 41.5 14.3 23 0 0.83 0.0 3
2022-02-04 40 27 33.5 6.1 31 0 1.04 T 0
2022-02-05 27 14 20.5 -7.0 44 0 T T 0
2022-02-06 29 11 20.0 -7.7 45 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-07 35 17 26.0 -1.9 39 0 0.21 1.0 0
2022-02-08 45 31 38.0 9.9 27 0 0.13 0.0 0
2022-02-09 45 23 34.0 5.8 31 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-10 52 26 39.0 10.6 26 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-11 56 27 41.5 12.9 23 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-12 59 33 46.0 17.1 19 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-13 33 22 27.5 -1.6 37 0 0.05 1.9 2
2022-02-14 22 12 17.0 -12.3 48 0 0.00 0.0 1
2022-02-15 31 10 20.5 -9.0 44 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-16 43 12 27.5 -2.3 37 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-17 62 37 49.5 19.5 15 0 0.18 0.0 0
2022-02-18 59 19 39.0 8.8 26 0 0.32 0.0 0
2022-02-19 37 16 26.5 -4.0 38 0 0.01 0.3 0
2022-02-20 34 14 24.0 -6.8 41 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-21 55 28 41.5 10.5 23 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-22 57 26 41.5 10.2 23 0 0.97 0.0 0
2022-02-23 71 28 49.5 18.0 15 0 T 0.0 0
2022-02-24 29 25 27.0 -4.8 38 0 0.00 0.0 0
2022-02-25 30 19 24.5 -7.6 40 0 0.74 4.7 2
2022-02-26 34 9 21.5 -10.8 43 0 0.00 0.0 4
2022-02-27 43 13 28.0 -4.6 37 0 T T 4
2022-02-28 30 16 23.0 -9.9 42 0 T T 4
Observations for each day cover the 24 hours ending
at the time given below (Local Standard Time).
Max Temperature : midnight
Min Temperature : midnight
Precipitation : midnight
Snowfall : midnight
Snow Depth : 7am

 

 

look around the 10th of February, there was a clear shift to a more Spring-like or at best late-winter feel.  Many mild days

 

Nobody is denying that. That happens many times and in many seasons. Look at 2018…we reached 80 degrees in February, and then March was a beast for many…monster snow and deep cold…after a record breaking warm spell. 


Things fluctuate in SNE..it’s never wall to wall deep winter from December through March.  
The point is, you are a warminista period. You push and you spoon the warm looks in fantasy land guidance constantly. And Fine, be that guy. But don’t try to say your fair and balanced…cuz your not! And that’s the point here. You like to dig and poke. We got your number Tiger torch. 

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Heck...maybe even catpaws here near the beginning if the GFS is right. Although the NAM says no way.

Date: 12 hour GFS valid 0Z WED 16 MAR 22
Station: 43.43,-71.62
Latitude:   43.43
Longitude: -71.62
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
     mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SFC  989   267   1.8   1.5  98  0.3   1.7  56   3 275.8 276.6 275.4 287.6  4.31
  2  950   587   0.4   0.3  99  0.1   0.4  41   8 277.6 278.3 276.1 288.9  4.11
  3  900  1021   0.1   0.1 100  0.0   0.1 174   3 281.6 282.3 278.4 293.5  4.27
  4  850  1478  -1.2  -1.3  99  0.1  -1.2 219  14 284.9 285.6 279.8 296.5  4.09
  5  800  1960  -3.1  -3.3  98  0.2  -3.2 235  23 287.8 288.5 280.7 298.6  3.74
  6  750  2468  -5.9  -6.3  97  0.3  -6.1 237  28 290.1 290.7 281.1 299.4  3.18
  7  700  3005  -9.8 -10.2  97  0.4  -9.9 248  31 291.6 292.1 281.0 299.1  2.52
  8  650  3572 -14.3 -14.6  98  0.3 -14.4 253  39 292.7 293.1 280.7 298.5  1.89
  9  600  4174 -18.2 -18.2 100  0.0 -18.2 262  45 295.1 295.4 281.2 299.8  1.52
 10  550  4819 -22.0 -22.1 100  0.0 -22.1 258  43 297.9 298.1 282.0 301.7  1.19
 11  500  5514 -26.3 -26.4 100  0.1 -26.3 261  50 301.0 301.1 283.0 303.9  0.89

 

Brian,  can you give me the link to this?  I use to have it but can't find it.  Thanks

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5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Snow(for me) is  one of the " ingredients that makes for a good winter but it has to be combined with at least average temps and snowpack. 

Same here. I don’t have to have deep pack, but a decent one is certainly nice. If it gets wiped, and we replenish quickly after that’s ok with me too. 
 

We had some good cold this winter, had some good lasting cold. We just couldn’t get the snow to work out. 

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So, I highly recommend not blowing out you ACL. Pain after surgery is unreal. I can barely move. No weight bearing at all with my left leg for about 6 weeks. I just lay on my couch staring at the ceiling. But, at least I will be back walking in time for summer. So I'm just immobile during mud season

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11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Same here. I don’t have to have deep pack, but a decent one is certainly nice. If it gets wiped, and we replenish quickly after that’s ok with me too. 
 

We had some good cold this winter, had some good lasting cold. We just couldn’t get the snow to work out. 

The cold was only decent for a 2-3 week period in January....otherwise mostly dogshit. I had a lot of "pack days" but so many of them were 2-3" glacier pack days that are not great. I had like 1 snow event all winter that fell on top of a pack that was more than 3 inches.

This winter was a solid D+/C- here....maybe it can salvage a C/C+ if we get one more decent event.

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2 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

So, I highly recommend not blowing out you ACL. Pain after surgery is unreal. I can barely move. No weight bearing at all with my left leg for about 6 weeks. I just lay on my couch staring at the ceiling. But, at least I will be back walking in time for summer. So I'm just immobile during mud season

Make sure you do your physical therapy with a therapist that specializes in sports injury rehab even if the injury isn't sports related. ....makes a significant difference. 

I hope you are doing better sooner rather than later. 

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The cold was only decent for a 2-3 week period in January....otherwise mostly dogshit. I had a lot of "pack days" but so many of them were 2-3" glacier pack days that are not great. I had like 1 snow event all winter that fell on top of a pack that was more than 3 inches.

This winter was a solid D+/C- here....maybe it can salvage a C/C+ if we get one more decent event.

January seemed pretty consistently cold to me. But ya, it wasn’t a good winter here…better out east obviously. 
 

Im thinking this winter has nothing left…everything(patterns and storms) seems to more often than not fail this season. Just one of those years. So gut feeling tells me it’s over now. That end of month/last week look will more than likely fall apart soon enough. That’s been the tenor this year. 

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8 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Make sure you do your physical therapy with a therapist that specializes in sports injury rehab even if the injury isn't sports related. ....makes a significant difference. 

I hope you are doing better sooner rather than later. 

My left and right rotator cuffs agree 100 percent! A skilled physical therapist is woth their weight in gold... IF you do as they say

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9 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Make sure you do your physical therapy with a therapist that specializes in sports injury rehab even if the injury isn't sports related. ....makes a significant difference. 

I hope you are doing better sooner rather than later. 

 

20 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

So, I highly recommend not blowing out you ACL. Pain after surgery is unreal. I can barely move. No weight bearing at all with my left leg for about 6 weeks. I just lay on my couch staring at the ceiling. But, at least I will be back walking in time for summer. So I'm just immobile during mud season

...and let me add this....if you are having that much pain then you should call the doctor that performed the surgery.

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Just now, UnitedWx said:

My left and right rotator cuffs agree 100 percent! A skilled physical therapist is woth their weight in gold... IF you do as they say

Exactly!....Same goes for surgery, best to find a surgeon that  specializes in treating athletes.  As you know a skilled physical therapist can lessen the time required for physical therapy. And the results are much better. 

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21 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

My left and right rotator cuffs agree 100 percent! A skilled physical therapist is woth their weight in gold... IF you do as they say

Agree.  My PT after surgery initially sucked.  I thought I was going to be an invalid forever.  I found a PT person a few years later who fixed me up after about 6 months of therapy and got me back to the gym bodybuilding.  huge difference.  

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1 hour ago, #NoPoles said:

So, I highly recommend not blowing out you ACL. Pain after surgery is unreal. I can barely move. No weight bearing at all with my left leg for about 6 weeks. I just lay on my couch staring at the ceiling. But, at least I will be back walking in time for summer. So I'm just immobile during mud season

All due sympathies from a voice of experience...

I'd always been tip-top.  I didn't know what I was in for when that fateful pop sounded off during a pick-up game of b-ball.  The sensation was as though someone had slapped that back of my leg, just beneath the calf muscle.   As I began the turning motion to ask the defender, "What the fu -" I stammered when instead, no one was there.  And the turning movement revealed that my right foot was pretty much off-line for all weight bearing.  I was soon looking at the ceiling.

As I limped to the bleachers and sat looking at the back of my lower leg, an inward notch was visible about 2 inches above the heal.  I still had no clue what this was.  The thing is...it didn't really hurt.  The initial pulsed slap-pop sound sent a jolt up my leg, but that was it. 

I hadn't even been to a doctor for a physical in like 15 years.  I was 34 years old at the time. No complaints.  Pow!  It was really audible too.  Someone near by, "what the hell was that?" 

I went to the emergency room, and waited for two hours to be seen and ultimately gave up.  I wasn't in pain.  I just had lost the use of my foot - disconcerting, but no pain.  

I limped around daily life for three days... still not knowing what was happening or connecting dots.  But then I was in the shower and noticed this disturbing black-purple hematoma had pooled at the bottom of my foot.  It was like one of those moments when your an idiot kid, and the horn and screech saved your life?  You turned white with with fear.   It was a turn white moment. It was that gnarly and scary looking.  "Okay, time to call this one in -" 

At work that morning I called my IP; I need to find out where to go for doctor visits. I mean, part of the tip top down side is that you don't know these things.  After describing, they had me call an orthopedic, "North Shore -" I think it was called.  Described it to the nurse and she was like, "You've been walking on that all week?! you need to get in here ASAP." 

It turned out, the Achilles Tendon explosively ruptured, ...so clean and violently, that it didn't recoil up into the calf muscle like is typically what happens.  When that does that, the pain is typically so severe the patient almost passes out.  This just when boom, and was left dangling inside the sheathing, with mop end shreds according to the surgeon.      

I didn't know what to expect from the deeply invasive reconnection surgury that took place two days later.  Like I said, ...I was a new to this sort of thing.   They inserted an electrode into the back of the knee in prep, delivering a pulse of electricity directly to the peroneal nerve, that left everything below the knee essentially invisible.   In post op, I was not told what would happen when the nerve came back to life - I blame medicine for that.  No counseling ... time of expecting this.  What to do to prepare for that.  They just gave me a vile of this stuff called "Oxycodone,"  the back side of which had written in big capital bold red letters, "IF YOU TAKE MORE THAN 2 TABLETS IN 24 HOURS, YOU WILL CAUSE KIDNEY DAMAGE" ...     Shit, I'd always been an Advil junky for Migraine headaches ( Aura type too...)  Nothing hurts worse than those ... I'll just double up on Advil. 

Wrong.   That pain became so severe, that was when I almost passed out - on several occasions.  I'd never experience anything like that.  I had a massive gash, oozing plasmas, held together with staples, essentially no prophylactic management tools having been applied.   My sister found doing a check in ... pretty much in the fetal position in a state of delirious apoplexy...   She called North Shore Ortho and got the doctor's pager and after tracking the mother-f'er down and telling him the situation, and the big, bold red writing about kidney damage, he was like "Are you kidding!  For get that... Give him 5 tablet of that immediately" 

I mean I didn't know...  The funny thing about Oxy's - for me - was that it didn't really stop it from hurting.  It only made you not care that it hurt. Weird state of mind.  Finally after 3 -5 days, the orb of pain that made up my foot had finally fade to just being a painful foot... at which point, Advils like chicklet candies began to work. 

 

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

The cold was only decent for a 2-3 week period in January....otherwise mostly dogshit. I had a lot of "pack days" but so many of them were 2-3" glacier pack days that are not great. I had like 1 snow event all winter that fell on top of a pack that was more than 3 inches.

This winter was a solid D+/C- here....maybe it can salvage a C/C+ if we get one more decent event.

Jan 11-31 ran -8.2 here, which is only 3 weeks but serious cold even for that short a stretch.  Then came the February rollercoaster, with 7-8 "rides" of +/- 50°, either overnight drops or rises from morning to the next day's afternoon, headed by the -14 on 2/16 climbing to 51 on the 17th.

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22 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The Nam's are pretty bullish for the clippah tonight.

and still out in clown range but GFS seems to picking up on the CAD idea that the euro has been selling for this weekend. I think our areas are probably cooked for that one but could be another nice event for the mountains.

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