WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Mrs.J said: I am covered. Back in 2020 I had just started a TP delivery service called Who Gives A Crap. I get a box of TP delivered every 6 weeks. So you’re a doomsday prepper? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: So you’re a doomsday prepper? Lol Nah just got tired of buying TP and back in March of 2020 it was good I started the service. With 3 females in the house we go through a lot of TP. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 LWX doesnt seem too bullish on this yet....some pockets of .1-.25 of ice on their ice map but mostly .01-.1 and its all essentially along and north of I70 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: LWX doesnt seem too bullish on this yet....some pockets of .1-.25 of ice on their ice map but mostly .01-.1 and its all essentially along and north of I70 Yup no reason to sound the alarms with mixed modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 LWX doesnt seem too bullish on this yet....some pockets of .1-.25 of ice on their ice map but mostly .01-.1 and its all essentially along and north of I70Sounds like it looks like the 3k NAM ?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I'm in one of the danger zones for this one. Hmm nothing like being trapped for days in my hilly neighborhood with 2 kids (2 and <1 yr) That sounds like a booze run to me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS folds 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: GFS folds You make so many bad posts... 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: GFS folds Well not for the northern crew but yes its a bit warmer for lower elevations. Not a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Well not for the northern crew but yes its a bit warmer for lower elevations. Not a surprise That's more accurate, same folks who saw ice and sleet on the NAM and Euro see it on the GFS. 6z was warmer then you saw 12z. For those who are in the impact zone, these are important runs. If the 0z GFS looks like 12z or the 18z NAM, thats not a good sign. We're getting to the point where we are starting to look at NAM's for thermals as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You make so many bad posts... Should of clarified that it folded for me, it is an IMBY sport but should of considered the fact it still shows some ice up north. Sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 As of now, gfs has certainly led the way here. As of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 As of now, gfs has certainly led the way here. As of now.At what point do we become concerned for northern areas? I really feel like very few are taking the ice threat seriously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Considering what the gfs showed a few days ago; it most definitely folded to the Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: As of now, gfs has certainly led the way here. As of now. And it’s still stupid up here. I’m below freezing by 7am and everything falling after that will freeze. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 If I'm reading 18z GFS ZR maps on pivotal right, that's close to half an inch of freezing rain in a band from Cecil County through Harford and Baltimore, down into Howard and Montgomery Counties (also further inland in Carroll/Frederick). I know consensus is still missing so we're still low confidence, but the GFS really does not want to budge. I'm sure there are some considerations around using the "ice clown maps" to gauge real world impact as with snow (and I'd love to hear more about them from red taggers or others knowledgeable), but yikes, no thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, anotherman said: At what point do we become concerned for northern areas? I really feel like very few are taking the ice threat seriously. Never for me. If it’s that bad I’ll just stay inside. I don’t sweat what I can’t control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Considering what the gfs showed a few days ago; it most definitely folded to the Euro Yeah, that’s what it did 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Never for me. If it’s that bad I’ll just stay inside. I don’t sweat what I can’t control.I’m not necessarily talking about myself. If there is a half inch of FRZ, many people are going to be affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, anotherman said: I’m not necessarily talking about myself. If there is a half inch of FRZ, many people are going to be affected. Still, there’s not a single thing anybody can do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 hours ago, snowmagnet said: I just heard on WTOP that Friday will feature rain changing to sleet and snow during the day. Did I miss something? Yeah your radio dial 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I am under a Winter Storm Warning for a Stupid Ice Threat, too. Tons of rain and arctic winds, changing to ZR and IP later tonight. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jebman said: I am under a Winter Storm Warning for a Stupid Ice Threat, too. Tons of rain and arctic winds, changing to ZR and IP later tonight. Too bad it's not snow -- would be fun to "share" a storm with you being in TX. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Jebman said: I am under a Winter Storm Warning for a Stupid Ice Threat, too. Tons of rain and arctic winds, changing to ZR and IP later tonight. Stay safe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: This temp contrast almost seems fake lol What model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 18z euro looks even warmer? Confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 52 minutes ago, MountainGeek said: Too bad it's not snow -- would be fun to "share" a storm with you being in TX. I still want you all over there to get 'New Englanded' by an 18 to 24 inch snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Jebman said: I am under a Winter Storm Warning for a Stupid Ice Threat, too. Tons of rain and arctic winds, changing to ZR and IP later tonight. You are going to get absolutely shellacked by the ice! It’s gonna be so icy your house will turn into an igloo! Hope you know how to ice skate, because when you go on a JebWalk you’ll have to skate down the frozen Texas roads! 4 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Well played, you Jeb’d the Jeb . Good luck down there Jebman! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 snow would have been fun, but it's been a little while since we had a washout. free car wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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