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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion


mappy
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10 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Euro, GFS, and now the Nam showing a dual low and elongation of everything before H5 catches up.  Tricky forecast up north of here through NYC.

Look at the upper level winds, h5 vorticity, and then 850/700 vort panels as the wester low develops at the surface. That(mid level low) is key for getting the good lift in the eastern areas at our latitude.

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8 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Burke hasn't seen a flake this morning, but there's a little echo streaming its way towards me now. Hopefully it's not just drizzle.

Kinda sucky we haven't seen anything like our NW amigos.  But it is what it is.  Hopefully some flakes later.

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Good luck to all in here today. So far nothing in northern MoCo. Hopefully get an inch or so later. Eastern shore still looks good a warning level event. Coastal areas will see blizzard conditions. Current call is 10-15" for OCMD up to Rehoboth. Hope to see pics and videos from there tonight. Enjoy y'all

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4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Look at the upper level winds, h5 vorticity, and then 850/700 vort panels as the wester low develops at the surface. That(mid level low) is key for getting the good lift in the eastern areas at our latitude.

Wow. Thanks for this.  At 500 everything looked a tick better, but now looking at 700 and 850 you can see why it initially escapes east as those 2 levels weren't as sharp.

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If you click on the floater segment from College of Dupage you can get to the 1 hr precipitation for the NAM Nest.  There is a band mid-day tomorrow up by BOS that is ~0.30".  Awesome stuff.

I toyed with buzzing up to Atlantic City also, but it maxes out at about 0.10"/hr and is in the wee hours of the morning.  While this would last longer and have more wind, I've already seen those rates this year on Jan 3rd.  

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Blizzard Warning for Southern Delaware

Start

End

Friday, January 28, 7:00 PM EST

Saturday, January 29, 7:00 PM EST

Source: U.S. National Weather Service

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... *

WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...Inland Sussex. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday. *

IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to begin on Friday evening, with snow becoming heavy after midnight. The most likely time for blizzard conditions is late Friday night through midday Saturday. Blizzard conditions are primarily expected at or within a few miles from the Delaware Bay. Snow will wind down Saturday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

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